Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

GME Group Holdings Limited (8188.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.75 - $18.96$8.10
Multi-Stage$14.68 - $16.23$15.44
Blended Fair Value$11.77
Current Price$0.84
Upside1,301.08%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.090.000.000.000.000.000.010.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--17.72%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%9.52%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)83.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19.23
(=) Cash Retained (M)64.07
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.6610.416.25
Cash Retained (M)64.0764.0764.07
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.66-10.41-6.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)47.4153.6657.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)484.82484.82484.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.100.110.12
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.100.110.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.140.150.16
WACC / Discount Rate0.84%0.84%0.84%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.75$8.10$18.96
Upside / Downside465.03%863.97%2,157.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)83.3082.4681.6480.8280.0179.2181.59
Payout Ratio23.08%36.47%49.85%63.23%76.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19.2330.0740.7051.1161.3071.2975.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.84%0.84%0.84%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)29.5229.8230.12
Year 2 PV (M)39.2240.0240.84
Year 3 PV (M)48.3549.8451.37
Year 4 PV (M)56.9359.2961.72
Year 5 PV (M)64.9968.3871.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,880.307,238.587,611.62
Equity Value (M)7,119.317,485.937,867.57
Shares Outstanding (M)484.82484.82484.82
Fair Value$14.68$15.44$16.23
Upside / Downside1,648.16%1,738.19%1,831.90%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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