DDM Analysis: 7606.T

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1,089.12 - $1,595.15	$1,332.98
Multi-Stage	$2,239.33 - $2,463.63	$2,349.28
Blended Fair Value	$1,841.13
Current Price	$2,140.00
Upside	-13.97%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	-8.10%	-3.30%	55.20	53.14	24.74	7.24	62.70	84.21	80.12	80.01	85.34	86.06
YoY Growth	-	-	3.89%	114.79%	241.50%	-88.45%	-25.55%	5.11%	0.14%	-6.24%	-0.84%	11.44%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.58%	2.58%	1.00%	0.35%	2.91%	4.62%	2.38%	1.93%	2.34%	2.90%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,982.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,729.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,253.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	796.40	497.75	298.65
Cash Retained (M)	2,253.00	2,253.00	2,253.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-796.40	-497.75	-298.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,456.60	1,755.25	1,954.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	27.61	27.61	27.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share	52.76	63.58	70.79
LTM Dividend per Share	62.63	62.63	62.63
(+) Excess Retained per Share	52.76	63.58	70.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend	115.39	126.20	133.41
WACC / Discount Rate	7.45%	7.45%	7.45%
Growth Rate	-2.84%	-1.84%	-0.84%
Fair Value	$1,089.12	$1,332.98	$1,595.15
Upside / Downside	-49.11%	-37.71%	-25.46%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,982.00	3,908.73	3,836.80	3,766.20	3,696.90	3,628.87	3,737.74
Payout Ratio	43.42%	52.74%	62.05%	71.37%	80.68%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,729.00	2,061.32	2,380.82	2,687.87	2,982.81	3,265.98	3,457.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.45%	7.45%	7.45%
Growth Rate	-2.84%	-1.84%	-0.84%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,898.80	1,918.34	1,937.88
Year 2 PV (M)	2,020.19	2,061.99	2,104.22
Year 3 PV (M)	2,100.91	2,166.45	2,233.34
Year 4 PV (M)	2,147.62	2,237.41	2,329.99
Year 5 PV (M)	2,166.10	2,279.89	2,398.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)	51,490.75	54,195.65	57,013.05
Equity Value (M)	61,824.36	64,859.73	68,016.89
Shares Outstanding (M)	27.61	27.61	27.61
Fair Value	$2,239.33	$2,349.28	$2,463.63
Upside / Downside	4.64%	9.78%	15.12%

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United Arrows Ltd. (7606.T)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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