DDM Analysis: 6896.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$58.52 - $142.66	$133.69
Multi-Stage	$21.35 - $23.34	$22.33
Blended Fair Value	$78.01
Current Price	$4.00
Upside	1,850.28%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	38.72%	10.31%	0.55	0.33	0.15	0.05	0.10	0.11	0.10	0.11	0.05	0.19
YoY Growth	-	-	66.03%	114.10%	207.83%	-52.12%	-1.95%	4.73%	-3.85%	105.21%	-72.38%	-8.99%
Dividend Yield	-	-	17.97%	10.82%	9.09%	3.87%	9.31%	10.03%	9.15%	6.64%	1.91%	4.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	530.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	403.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)	126.56

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	106.06	66.29	39.77
Cash Retained (M)	126.56	126.56	126.56
(-) Cash Required (M)	-106.06	-66.29	-39.77
(=) Excess Retained (M)	20.49	60.27	86.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	739.30	739.30	739.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.03	0.08	0.12
LTM Dividend per Share	0.55	0.55	0.55
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.03	0.08	0.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.57	0.63	0.66
WACC / Discount Rate	6.53%	6.53%	6.53%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$58.52	$133.69	$142.66
Upside / Downside	1,362.88%	3,242.31%	3,466.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	530.32	564.79	601.51	640.60	682.24	726.59	748.39
Payout Ratio	76.14%	78.91%	81.68%	84.45%	87.23%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	403.77	445.67	491.32	541.02	595.10	653.93	692.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.53%	6.53%	6.53%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	414.41	418.33	422.26
Year 2 PV (M)	424.80	432.89	441.06
Year 3 PV (M)	434.96	447.44	460.17
Year 4 PV (M)	444.88	461.98	479.58
Year 5 PV (M)	454.56	476.52	499.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)	13,613.86	14,271.42	14,954.14
Equity Value (M)	15,787.46	16,508.59	17,256.52
Shares Outstanding (M)	739.30	739.30	739.30
Fair Value	$21.35	$22.33	$23.34
Upside / Downside	433.86%	458.25%	483.54%

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Golden Throat Holdings Group Company Limited (6896.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener