DDM Analysis: 688188.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$80.20 - $170.18	$113.87
Multi-Stage	$61.53 - $67.04	$64.23
Blended Fair Value	$89.05
Current Price	$153.78
Upside	-42.09%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	66.76%	0.00%	2.08	0.67	0.77	0.52	0.30	0.16	0.23	0.12	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	212.06%	-14.08%	49.15%	74.32%	85.00%	-29.83%	90.08%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.60%	0.48%	0.83%	0.47%	0.28%	0.36%	0.26%	0.14%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,061.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	592.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)	468.82

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	212.26	132.66	79.60
Cash Retained (M)	468.82	468.82	468.82
(-) Cash Required (M)	-212.26	-132.66	-79.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)	256.56	336.16	389.22
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	248.39	248.39	248.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.03	1.35	1.57
LTM Dividend per Share	2.39	2.39	2.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.03	1.35	1.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.42	3.74	3.95
WACC / Discount Rate	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$80.20	$113.87	$170.18
Upside / Downside	-47.85%	-25.95%	10.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,061.28	1,130.26	1,203.73	1,281.97	1,365.30	1,454.04	1,497.67
Payout Ratio	55.83%	62.66%	69.50%	76.33%	83.17%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	592.46	708.22	836.53	978.53	1,135.45	1,308.64	1,385.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	637.82	643.86	649.91
Year 2 PV (M)	678.47	691.39	704.44
Year 3 PV (M)	714.74	735.25	756.16
Year 4 PV (M)	746.90	775.63	805.17
Year 5 PV (M)	775.25	812.69	851.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)	11,729.94	12,296.50	12,884.74
Equity Value (M)	15,283.11	15,955.33	16,651.99
Shares Outstanding (M)	248.39	248.39	248.39
Fair Value	$61.53	$64.23	$67.04
Upside / Downside	-59.99%	-58.23%	-56.41%

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Financial Statements

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Shanghai BOCHU Electronic Technology Corporation Limited. (688188.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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