DDM Analysis: 6517.T

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$3,459.32 - $6,214.55	$4,613.54
Multi-Stage	$3,263.49 - $3,568.64	$3,413.26
Blended Fair Value	$4,013.40
Current Price	$2,966.00
Upside	35.31%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	9.36%	10.39%	73.06	53.24	50.32	49.59	48.51	46.71	48.42	32.25	33.56	32.44
YoY Growth	-	-	37.24%	5.81%	1.47%	2.21%	3.86%	-3.52%	50.15%	-3.92%	3.45%	19.35%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.58%	1.88%	2.44%	3.12%	2.49%	2.45%	3.19%	1.88%	1.72%	3.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	4,970.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,071.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)	3,898.50

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	994.00	621.25	372.75
Cash Retained (M)	3,898.50	3,898.50	3,898.50
(-) Cash Required (M)	-994.00	-621.25	-372.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2,904.50	3,277.25	3,525.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	20.53	20.53	20.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share	141.47	159.63	171.73
LTM Dividend per Share	52.19	52.19	52.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share	141.47	159.63	171.73
(=) Adjusted Dividend	193.67	211.82	223.93
WACC / Discount Rate	9.67%	9.67%	9.67%
Growth Rate	3.86%	4.86%	5.86%
Fair Value	$3,459.32	$4,613.54	$6,214.55
Upside / Downside	16.63%	55.55%	109.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	4,970.00	5,211.36	5,464.45	5,729.82	6,008.09	6,299.86	6,488.86
Payout Ratio	21.56%	35.25%	48.94%	62.62%	76.31%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,071.50	1,836.87	2,674.06	3,588.23	4,584.88	5,669.88	6,002.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.67%	9.67%	9.67%
Growth Rate	3.86%	4.86%	5.86%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,658.93	1,674.90	1,690.87
Year 2 PV (M)	2,181.06	2,223.26	2,265.87
Year 3 PV (M)	2,643.16	2,720.25	2,798.82
Year 4 PV (M)	3,050.14	3,169.32	3,291.96
Year 5 PV (M)	3,406.53	3,573.73	3,747.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)	54,060.43	56,713.68	59,470.11
Equity Value (M)	67,000.24	70,075.14	73,265.05
Shares Outstanding (M)	20.53	20.53	20.53
Fair Value	$3,263.49	$3,413.26	$3,568.64
Upside / Downside	10.03%	15.08%	20.32%

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Denyo Co., Ltd. (6517.T)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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