Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Heiwa Corporation (6412.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: LeisureSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$928.82 - $1,348.94$1,132.50
Multi-Stage$1,636.01 - $1,793.46$1,713.23
Blended Fair Value$1,422.86
Current Price$2,104.00
Upside-32.37%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-0.01%1.42%80.0180.0180.0279.9780.0380.0379.9979.8579.8774.64
YoY Growth--0.00%-0.01%0.06%-0.08%0.00%0.05%0.18%-0.03%7.00%7.38%
Dividend Yield--3.81%3.84%3.20%3.97%4.07%4.44%3.55%2.99%3.19%3.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12,457.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,890.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,567.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,491.401,557.13934.28
Cash Retained (M)4,567.004,567.004,567.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,491.40-1,557.13-934.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,075.603,009.883,632.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)98.6398.6398.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share21.0430.5236.83
LTM Dividend per Share80.0080.0080.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share21.0430.5236.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend101.04110.52116.83
WACC / Discount Rate8.66%8.66%8.66%
Growth Rate-2.01%-1.01%-0.01%
Fair Value$928.82$1,132.50$1,348.94
Upside / Downside-55.85%-46.17%-35.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12,457.0012,331.8012,207.8612,085.1611,963.6911,843.4512,198.75
Payout Ratio63.34%68.67%74.00%79.34%84.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,890.008,468.289,034.159,587.7810,129.3710,659.1111,283.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.66%8.66%8.66%
Growth Rate-2.01%-1.01%-0.01%
Year 1 PV (M)7,714.987,793.717,872.43
Year 2 PV (M)7,498.357,652.177,807.54
Year 3 PV (M)7,249.967,474.187,702.98
Year 4 PV (M)6,978.147,267.367,565.49
Year 5 PV (M)6,689.867,038.247,400.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)125,224.30131,745.36138,535.30
Equity Value (M)161,355.58168,971.01176,884.73
Shares Outstanding (M)98.6398.6398.63
Fair Value$1,636.01$1,713.23$1,793.46
Upside / Downside-22.24%-18.57%-14.76%

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