DDM Analysis: 6305.T

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$34,830.95 - $81,742.14	$76,604.35
Multi-Stage	$12,103.50 - $13,245.26	$12,663.90
Blended Fair Value	$44,634.13
Current Price	$4,734.00
Upside	842.84%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	6.94%	9.00%	129.94	144.87	114.94	54.98	34.19	92.91	91.96	44.01	14.13	59.91
YoY Growth	-	-	-10.31%	26.04%	109.06%	60.80%	-63.20%	1.03%	108.97%	211.51%	-76.42%	9.14%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.02%	3.29%	2.85%	1.83%	1.01%	3.12%	3.17%	1.22%	0.50%	4.04%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	87,431.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	37,256.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	50,175.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	17,486.20	10,928.88	6,557.33
Cash Retained (M)	50,175.00	50,175.00	50,175.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-17,486.20	-10,928.88	-6,557.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)	32,688.80	39,246.13	43,617.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	212.72	212.72	212.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share	153.67	184.50	205.05
LTM Dividend per Share	175.14	175.14	175.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share	153.67	184.50	205.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend	328.82	359.64	380.20
WACC / Discount Rate	6.50%	6.50%	6.50%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$34,830.95	$76,604.35	$81,742.14
Upside / Downside	635.76%	1,518.17%	1,626.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	87,431.00	93,114.02	99,166.43	105,612.24	112,477.04	119,788.05	123,381.69
Payout Ratio	42.61%	52.09%	61.57%	71.04%	80.52%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	37,256.00	48,502.63	61,053.93	75,031.96	90,569.19	107,809.24	114,128.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.50%	6.50%	6.50%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	45,116.46	45,544.11	45,971.75
Year 2 PV (M)	52,826.64	53,832.84	54,848.53
Year 3 PV (M)	60,388.66	62,122.21	63,888.61
Year 4 PV (M)	67,804.62	70,412.20	73,094.27
Year 5 PV (M)	75,076.59	78,702.82	82,467.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,273,391.59	2,383,197.25	2,497,205.44
Equity Value (M)	2,574,604.57	2,693,811.42	2,817,476.43
Shares Outstanding (M)	212.72	212.72	212.72
Fair Value	$12,103.50	$12,663.90	$13,245.26
Upside / Downside	155.67%	167.51%	179.79%

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Financial Statements

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Hitachi Construction Machinery Co., Ltd. (6305.T)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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