DDM Analysis: 6069.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$21.44 - $101.11	$37.88
Multi-Stage	$19.02 - $20.79	$19.89
Blended Fair Value	$28.89
Current Price	$10.73
Upside	169.20%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	48.26%	0.00%	0.25	0.07	0.07	0.05	0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	255.83%	4.82%	32.82%	16.72%	23.86%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.66%	1.57%	1.19%	0.79%	0.84%	0.54%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	673.41
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	658.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)	15.37

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	134.68	84.18	50.51
Cash Retained (M)	15.37	15.37	15.37
(-) Cash Required (M)	-134.68	-84.18	-50.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-119.31	-68.80	-35.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	979.48	979.48	979.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04
LTM Dividend per Share	0.67	0.67	0.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.55	0.60	0.64
WACC / Discount Rate	6.60%	6.60%	6.60%
Growth Rate	3.93%	4.93%	5.93%
Fair Value	$21.44	$37.88	$101.11
Upside / Downside	99.81%	253.06%	842.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	673.41	706.61	741.44	778.00	816.35	856.60	882.30
Payout Ratio	97.72%	96.17%	94.63%	93.09%	91.54%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	658.03	679.57	701.63	724.21	747.32	770.94	816.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.60%	6.60%	6.60%
Growth Rate	3.93%	4.93%	5.93%
Year 1 PV (M)	631.44	637.52	643.59
Year 2 PV (M)	605.77	617.48	629.30
Year 3 PV (M)	580.98	597.91	615.17
Year 4 PV (M)	557.06	578.81	601.19
Year 5 PV (M)	533.97	560.15	587.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)	15,717.11	16,487.93	17,288.71
Equity Value (M)	18,626.32	19,479.80	20,365.33
Shares Outstanding (M)	979.48	979.48	979.48
Fair Value	$19.02	$19.89	$20.79
Upside / Downside	77.23%	85.35%	93.77%

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SY Holdings Group Limited (6069.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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