DDM Analysis: 605589.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$30.05 - $80.46	$46.08
Multi-Stage	$21.00 - $22.92	$21.94
Blended Fair Value	$34.01
Current Price	$33.89
Upside	0.35%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	38.78%	27.21%	0.43	0.19	0.19	0.24	0.13	0.08	0.17	0.23	0.16	0.06
YoY Growth	-	-	128.12%	1.05%	-20.00%	86.14%	50.00%	-50.00%	-28.16%	50.00%	166.67%	50.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.53%	0.99%	0.96%	0.81%	0.37%	0.24%	0.49%	0.68%	0.45%	0.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,046.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	469.61
(=) Cash Retained (M)	577.15

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	209.35	130.85	78.51
Cash Retained (M)	577.15	577.15	577.15
(-) Cash Required (M)	-209.35	-130.85	-78.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)	367.80	446.31	498.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	823.36	823.36	823.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.45	0.54	0.61
LTM Dividend per Share	0.57	0.57	0.57
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.45	0.54	0.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.02	1.11	1.18
WACC / Discount Rate	9.07%	9.07%	9.07%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$30.05	$46.08	$80.46
Upside / Downside	-11.34%	35.96%	137.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,046.77	1,114.81	1,187.27	1,264.44	1,346.63	1,434.16	1,477.19
Payout Ratio	44.86%	53.89%	62.92%	71.95%	80.97%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	469.61	600.78	747.01	909.71	1,090.40	1,290.75	1,366.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.07%	9.07%	9.07%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	545.64	550.81	555.98
Year 2 PV (M)	616.18	627.92	639.77
Year 3 PV (M)	681.52	701.09	721.02
Year 4 PV (M)	741.92	770.46	799.80
Year 5 PV (M)	797.64	836.16	876.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)	13,908.17	14,579.94	15,277.42
Equity Value (M)	17,291.07	18,066.37	18,870.15
Shares Outstanding (M)	823.36	823.36	823.36
Fair Value	$21.00	$21.94	$22.92
Upside / Downside	-38.03%	-35.25%	-32.37%

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Jinan Shengquan Group Share Holding Co., Ltd. (605589.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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