DDM Analysis: 603551.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$10.31 - $18.31	$13.69
Multi-Stage	$18.47 - $20.27	$19.35
Blended Fair Value	$16.52
Current Price	$12.15
Upside	35.95%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	39.89%	0.00%	1.10	0.75	0.61	0.42	0.34	0.20	0.63	0.36	0.66	0.77
YoY Growth	-	-	45.80%	22.80%	46.05%	22.90%	66.67%	-67.62%	74.71%	-44.78%	-15.30%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	10.36%	6.89%	5.33%	4.53%	2.83%	1.16%	2.89%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	295.27
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	208.38
(=) Cash Retained (M)	86.89

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	59.05	36.91	22.15
Cash Retained (M)	86.89	86.89	86.89
(-) Cash Required (M)	-59.05	-36.91	-22.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)	27.84	49.98	64.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	386.90	386.90	386.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.07	0.13	0.17
LTM Dividend per Share	0.54	0.54	0.54
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.07	0.13	0.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.61	0.67	0.71
WACC / Discount Rate	6.44%	6.44%	6.44%
Growth Rate	0.49%	1.49%	2.49%
Fair Value	$10.31	$13.69	$18.31
Upside / Downside	-15.16%	12.64%	50.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	295.27	299.68	304.15	308.69	313.30	317.97	327.51
Payout Ratio	70.57%	74.46%	78.34%	82.23%	86.11%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	208.38	223.14	238.28	253.83	269.80	286.18	302.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.44%	6.44%	6.44%
Growth Rate	0.49%	1.49%	2.49%
Year 1 PV (M)	207.56	209.63	211.69
Year 2 PV (M)	206.18	210.30	214.47
Year 3 PV (M)	204.30	210.46	216.75
Year 4 PV (M)	201.99	210.16	218.56
Year 5 PV (M)	199.30	209.42	219.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)	6,125.29	6,436.18	6,759.56
Equity Value (M)	7,144.63	7,486.15	7,840.98
Shares Outstanding (M)	386.90	386.90	386.90
Fair Value	$18.47	$19.35	$20.27
Upside / Downside	51.99%	59.25%	66.80%

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AUPU Intelligent Technology Corporation Limited (603551.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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