Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Anbang Save-Guard Group Co.,Ltd. (603373.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Security & Protection ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19.44 - $37.13$26.55
Multi-Stage$18.32 - $19.94$19.11
Blended Fair Value$22.83
Current Price$47.09
Upside-51.51%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS15.09%0.00%0.540.020.020.300.300.270.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--2,675.15%-7.31%-93.07%-0.97%14.45%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.80%0.05%0.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)129.41
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)116.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)12.68
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)25.8816.189.71
Cash Retained (M)12.6812.6812.68
(-) Cash Required (M)-25.88-16.18-9.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)-13.21-3.502.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)106.57106.57106.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.12-0.030.03
LTM Dividend per Share1.101.101.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.12-0.030.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.971.061.12
WACC / Discount Rate9.68%9.68%9.68%
Growth Rate4.46%5.46%6.46%
Fair Value$19.44$26.55$37.13
Upside / Downside-58.72%-43.62%-21.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)129.41136.47143.91151.76160.04168.77173.83
Payout Ratio90.20%90.16%90.12%90.08%90.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)116.73123.04129.70136.71144.10151.89160.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.68%9.68%9.68%
Growth Rate4.46%5.46%6.46%
Year 1 PV (M)111.12112.19113.25
Year 2 PV (M)105.79107.82109.88
Year 3 PV (M)100.71103.63106.60
Year 4 PV (M)95.8799.59103.42
Year 5 PV (M)91.2695.72100.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,447.281,517.901,591.25
Equity Value (M)1,952.032,036.842,124.74
Shares Outstanding (M)106.57106.57106.57
Fair Value$18.32$19.11$19.94
Upside / Downside-61.10%-59.41%-57.66%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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