DDM Analysis: 603008.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$82.79 - $184.26	$172.68
Multi-Stage	$28.62 - $31.27	$29.92
Blended Fair Value	$101.30
Current Price	$17.62
Upside	474.91%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	25.07%	17.20%	0.69	0.25	0.50	0.44	0.24	0.23	0.30	0.16	0.24	0.12
YoY Growth	-	-	181.13%	-51.37%	14.88%	86.11%	4.69%	-25.61%	86.53%	-33.05%	105.87%	-16.45%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.02%	1.43%	1.61%	1.52%	0.89%	1.87%	2.59%	0.92%	1.20%	0.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	346.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	320.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)	26.14

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	69.31	43.32	25.99
Cash Retained (M)	26.14	26.14	26.14
(-) Cash Required (M)	-69.31	-43.32	-25.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-43.16	-17.17	0.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	374.02	374.02	374.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.12	-0.05	0.00
LTM Dividend per Share	0.86	0.86	0.86
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.12	-0.05	0.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.74	0.81	0.86
WACC / Discount Rate	6.44%	6.44%	6.44%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$82.79	$172.68	$184.26
Upside / Downside	369.89%	880.04%	945.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	346.54	369.07	393.06	418.61	445.82	474.79	489.04
Payout Ratio	92.46%	91.96%	91.47%	90.98%	90.49%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	320.40	339.41	359.54	380.86	403.42	427.31	452.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.44%	6.44%	6.44%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	315.87	318.86	321.86
Year 2 PV (M)	311.39	317.33	323.31
Year 3 PV (M)	306.97	315.79	324.77
Year 4 PV (M)	302.61	314.25	326.22
Year 5 PV (M)	298.29	312.70	327.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)	9,167.60	9,610.40	10,070.15
Equity Value (M)	10,702.74	11,189.32	11,693.96
Shares Outstanding (M)	374.02	374.02	374.02
Fair Value	$28.62	$29.92	$31.27
Upside / Downside	62.40%	69.79%	77.44%

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Financial Statements

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Industry

Sector

Xilinmen Furniture Co.,Ltd (603008.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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