DDM Analysis: 601665.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$47.32 - $171.15	$149.92
Multi-Stage	$21.59 - $23.63	$22.59
Blended Fair Value	$86.25
Current Price	$5.74
Upside	1,402.66%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	2.47%	21.73%	0.32	0.26	0.28	0.27	0.20	0.28	0.34	0.21	0.17	0.06
YoY Growth	-	-	20.65%	-7.81%	6.82%	34.10%	-29.09%	-18.78%	61.21%	24.15%	177.61%	40.12%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.20%	5.88%	6.96%	5.09%	2.56%	3.61%	4.45%	2.76%	2.22%	0.80%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	5,507.44
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,584.93
(=) Cash Retained (M)	3,922.51

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,101.49	688.43	413.06
Cash Retained (M)	3,922.51	3,922.51	3,922.51
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,101.49	-688.43	-413.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2,821.02	3,234.08	3,509.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	6,399.74	6,399.74	6,399.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.44	0.51	0.55
LTM Dividend per Share	0.25	0.25	0.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.44	0.51	0.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.69	0.75	0.80
WACC / Discount Rate	7.03%	7.03%	7.03%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$47.32	$149.92	$171.15
Upside / Downside	724.38%	2,511.78%	2,881.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	5,507.44	5,865.42	6,246.68	6,652.71	7,085.14	7,545.67	7,772.04
Payout Ratio	28.78%	41.02%	53.27%	65.51%	77.76%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,584.93	2,406.14	3,327.40	4,358.27	5,509.09	6,791.10	7,189.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.03%	7.03%	7.03%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	2,226.88	2,247.99	2,269.10
Year 2 PV (M)	2,850.10	2,904.39	2,959.18
Year 3 PV (M)	3,454.98	3,554.16	3,655.22
Year 4 PV (M)	4,041.93	4,197.38	4,357.26
Year 5 PV (M)	4,611.34	4,834.07	5,065.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)	120,983.90	126,827.46	132,894.68
Equity Value (M)	138,169.13	144,565.45	151,200.76
Shares Outstanding (M)	6,399.74	6,399.74	6,399.74
Fair Value	$21.59	$22.59	$23.63
Upside / Downside	276.13%	293.54%	311.60%

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Qilu Bank Co., Ltd. (601665.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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