DDM Analysis: 601298.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$70.59 - $167.68	$157.14
Multi-Stage	$24.85 - $27.18	$25.99
Blended Fair Value	$91.57
Current Price	$8.38
Upside	992.70%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	4.43%	12.20%	0.51	0.29	0.26	0.27	0.20	0.41	0.03	0.15	0.11	0.07
YoY Growth	-	-	75.73%	13.07%	-4.22%	33.65%	-51.18%	1,161.08%	-78.91%	38.21%	54.63%	-55.21%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.18%	3.95%	4.03%	4.81%	2.86%	7.05%	0.31%	2.32%	1.68%	1.09%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	5,483.91
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	2,690.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,793.83

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,096.78	685.49	411.29
Cash Retained (M)	2,793.83	2,793.83	2,793.83
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,096.78	-685.49	-411.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,697.05	2,108.35	2,382.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	6,504.05	6,504.05	6,504.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.26	0.32	0.37
LTM Dividend per Share	0.41	0.41	0.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.26	0.32	0.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.67	0.74	0.78
WACC / Discount Rate	6.51%	6.51%	6.51%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$70.59	$157.14	$167.68
Upside / Downside	742.41%	1,775.21%	1,900.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	5,483.91	5,840.36	6,219.99	6,624.29	7,054.87	7,513.43	7,738.83
Payout Ratio	49.05%	57.24%	65.43%	73.62%	81.81%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	2,690.08	3,343.21	4,069.89	4,876.91	5,771.64	6,762.09	7,158.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.51%	6.51%	6.51%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	3,109.45	3,138.93	3,168.40
Year 2 PV (M)	3,520.65	3,587.71	3,655.40
Year 3 PV (M)	3,923.79	4,036.43	4,151.20
Year 4 PV (M)	4,318.98	4,485.07	4,655.91
Year 5 PV (M)	4,706.34	4,933.65	5,169.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)	142,021.26	148,880.94	156,003.16
Equity Value (M)	161,600.47	169,062.73	176,803.74
Shares Outstanding (M)	6,504.05	6,504.05	6,504.05
Fair Value	$24.85	$25.99	$27.18
Upside / Downside	196.49%	210.18%	224.39%

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Qingdao Port International Co., Ltd. (601298.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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