DDM Analysis: 601156.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$32.75 - $73.12	$47.34
Multi-Stage	$24.18 - $26.38	$25.26
Blended Fair Value	$36.30
Current Price	$15.75
Upside	130.47%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	19.04%	0.00%	0.39	0.36	0.69	0.00	0.34	0.16	0.27	0.02	0.01	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	8.32%	-48.47%	151,897.37%	-99.87%	112.50%	-41.07%	1,568.83%	34.53%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.74%	1.95%	4.56%	0.00%	1.51%	0.71%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,621.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,074.78
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,546.78

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	524.31	327.69	196.62
Cash Retained (M)	1,546.78	1,546.78	1,546.78
(-) Cash Required (M)	-524.31	-327.69	-196.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,022.47	1,219.08	1,350.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,595.67	1,595.67	1,595.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.64	0.76	0.85
LTM Dividend per Share	0.67	0.67	0.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.64	0.76	0.85
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.31	1.44	1.52
WACC / Discount Rate	9.73%	9.73%	9.73%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$32.75	$47.34	$73.12
Upside / Downside	107.92%	200.54%	364.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,621.55	2,791.95	2,973.43	3,166.70	3,372.54	3,591.75	3,699.51
Payout Ratio	41.00%	50.80%	60.60%	70.40%	80.20%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,074.78	1,418.26	1,801.86	2,229.33	2,704.76	3,232.58	3,422.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.73%	9.73%	9.73%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,280.31	1,292.45	1,304.58
Year 2 PV (M)	1,468.39	1,496.36	1,524.59
Year 3 PV (M)	1,640.04	1,687.12	1,735.09
Year 4 PV (M)	1,796.26	1,865.34	1,936.40
Year 5 PV (M)	1,937.99	2,031.59	2,128.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)	30,464.39	31,935.84	33,463.59
Equity Value (M)	38,587.39	40,308.70	42,093.04
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,595.67	1,595.67	1,595.67
Fair Value	$24.18	$25.26	$26.38
Upside / Downside	53.54%	60.39%	67.49%

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Eastern Air Logistics Co., Ltd. (601156.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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