DDM Analysis: 600989.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$248.64 - $292.94	$274.53
Multi-Stage	$364.95 - $400.61	$382.45
Blended Fair Value	$328.49
Current Price	$17.80
Upside	1,745.44%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	5.32%	18.28%	0.44	0.21	0.42	0.32	0.32	0.34	0.26	0.35	0.07	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	107.58%	-49.72%	31.80%	-0.14%	-5.66%	28.73%	-24.74%	381.13%	0.00%	-100.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.02%	1.26%	2.85%	2.15%	2.04%	4.03%	1.64%	2.19%	0.45%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	10,750.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	4,269.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)	6,480.92

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	2,150.15	1,343.85	806.31
Cash Retained (M)	6,480.92	6,480.92	6,480.92
(-) Cash Required (M)	-2,150.15	-1,343.85	-806.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)	4,330.76	5,137.07	5,674.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	7,298.68	7,298.68	7,298.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.59	0.70	0.78
LTM Dividend per Share	0.59	0.59	0.59
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.59	0.70	0.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.18	1.29	1.36
WACC / Discount Rate	-12.38%	-12.38%	-12.38%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$248.64	$274.53	$292.94
Upside / Downside	1,296.84%	1,442.28%	1,545.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	10,750.77	11,449.57	12,193.80	12,986.39	13,830.51	14,729.49	15,171.38
Payout Ratio	39.72%	49.77%	59.83%	69.89%	79.94%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	4,269.85	5,698.84	7,295.55	9,075.76	11,056.57	13,256.54	14,033.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	-12.38%	-12.38%	-12.38%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	6,443.00	6,504.07	6,565.14
Year 2 PV (M)	9,325.28	9,502.90	9,682.20
Year 3 PV (M)	13,115.61	13,492.12	13,875.76
Year 4 PV (M)	18,064.59	18,759.30	19,473.86
Year 5 PV (M)	24,487.23	25,669.98	26,897.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,592,245.72	2,717,452.16	2,847,450.54
Equity Value (M)	2,663,681.44	2,791,380.53	2,923,945.49
Shares Outstanding (M)	7,298.68	7,298.68	7,298.68
Fair Value	$364.95	$382.45	$400.61
Upside / Downside	1,950.30%	2,048.60%	2,150.63%

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Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group Co., Ltd. (600989.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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