DDM Analysis: 600826.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2.87 - $4.15	$3.49
Multi-Stage	$4.63 - $5.06	$4.84
Blended Fair Value	$4.17
Current Price	$10.43
Upside	-60.03%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-10.72%	24.82%	0.27	0.10	0.09	0.10	0.08	0.47	0.12	0.35	0.22	0.22
YoY Growth	-	-	178.96%	2.41%	-2.97%	25.89%	-83.74%	284.58%	-64.93%	57.50%	0.25%	660.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.46%	1.48%	1.35%	1.56%	1.26%	6.30%	1.42%	3.63%	1.20%	1.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	285.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	208.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)	77.54

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	57.11	35.70	21.42
Cash Retained (M)	77.54	77.54	77.54
(-) Cash Required (M)	-57.11	-35.70	-21.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)	20.43	41.85	56.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	724.18	724.18	724.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.03	0.06	0.08
LTM Dividend per Share	0.29	0.29	0.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.03	0.06	0.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.32	0.35	0.36
WACC / Discount Rate	9.51%	9.51%	9.51%
Growth Rate	-1.33%	-0.33%	0.67%
Fair Value	$2.87	$3.49	$4.15
Upside / Downside	-72.47%	-66.49%	-60.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	285.57	284.62	283.68	282.73	281.79	280.85	289.28
Payout Ratio	72.85%	76.28%	79.71%	83.14%	86.57%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	208.03	217.10	226.11	235.06	243.94	252.77	267.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.51%	9.51%	9.51%
Growth Rate	-1.33%	-0.33%	0.67%
Year 1 PV (M)	196.27	198.26	200.24
Year 2 PV (M)	184.79	188.56	192.36
Year 3 PV (M)	173.67	179.00	184.44
Year 4 PV (M)	162.93	169.64	176.55
Year 5 PV (M)	152.62	160.51	168.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,482.86	2,611.26	2,744.91
Equity Value (M)	3,353.13	3,507.22	3,667.23
Shares Outstanding (M)	724.18	724.18	724.18
Fair Value	$4.63	$4.84	$5.06
Upside / Downside	-55.61%	-53.57%	-51.45%

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Dlg Exhibitions & Events Corporation Limited (600826.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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