Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Changchun FAWAY Automobile Components Co.,Ltd (600742.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$111.70 - $131.65$123.36
Multi-Stage$88.04 - $96.76$92.32
Blended Fair Value$107.84
Current Price$10.22
Upside955.15%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-9.71%8.57%0.260.260.280.280.150.440.300.300.170.15
YoY Growth--2.50%-8.26%1.07%88.59%-66.52%44.61%-0.73%82.91%9.96%31.37%
Dividend Yield--2.87%2.79%3.19%2.83%1.56%5.56%2.69%3.04%1.47%2.76%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)500.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)268.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)232.08
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)100.0562.5337.52
Cash Retained (M)232.08232.08232.08
(-) Cash Required (M)-100.05-62.53-37.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)132.03169.55194.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)743.10743.10743.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.180.230.26
LTM Dividend per Share0.360.360.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.180.230.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.540.590.62
WACC / Discount Rate-1.97%-1.97%-1.97%
Growth Rate3.71%4.71%5.71%
Fair Value$111.70$123.36$131.65
Upside / Downside993.00%1,107.00%1,188.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)500.26523.80548.45574.26601.29629.59648.48
Payout Ratio53.61%60.89%68.16%75.44%82.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)268.18318.92373.85433.24497.40566.63599.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.97%-1.97%-1.97%
Growth Rate3.71%4.71%5.71%
Year 1 PV (M)322.23325.33328.44
Year 2 PV (M)381.64389.04396.50
Year 3 PV (M)446.85459.90473.21
Year 4 PV (M)518.34538.62559.50
Year 5 PV (M)596.61625.93656.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)63,157.5166,261.8369,487.02
Equity Value (M)65,423.1868,600.6571,901.07
Shares Outstanding (M)743.10743.10743.10
Fair Value$88.04$92.32$96.76
Upside / Downside761.46%803.30%846.75%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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