DDM Analysis: 600519.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$3,557.54 - $14,270.77	$9,520.14
Multi-Stage	$1,784.32 - $1,948.96	$1,865.14
Blended Fair Value	$5,692.64
Current Price	$1,443.99
Upside	294.23%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	30.37%	31.23%	54.83	25.94	43.64	19.32	17.05	14.56	11.01	6.80	6.23	4.02
YoY Growth	-	-	111.33%	-40.55%	125.91%	13.32%	17.10%	32.18%	62.06%	9.05%	55.09%	11.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.51%	1.51%	2.40%	1.12%	0.85%	1.31%	1.28%	0.99%	1.61%	1.62%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	90,027.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	64,671.68
(=) Cash Retained (M)	25,355.66

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	18,005.47	11,253.42	6,752.05
Cash Retained (M)	25,355.66	25,355.66	25,355.66
(-) Cash Required (M)	-18,005.47	-11,253.42	-6,752.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)	7,350.19	14,102.25	18,603.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,254.61	1,254.61	1,254.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share	5.86	11.24	14.83
LTM Dividend per Share	51.55	51.55	51.55
(+) Excess Retained per Share	5.86	11.24	14.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend	57.41	62.79	66.38
WACC / Discount Rate	7.20%	7.20%	7.20%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$3,557.54	$9,520.14	$14,270.77
Upside / Downside	146.37%	559.29%	888.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	90,027.34	95,879.12	102,111.26	108,748.49	115,817.14	123,345.26	127,045.62
Payout Ratio	71.84%	75.47%	79.10%	82.73%	86.37%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	64,671.68	72,358.51	80,771.39	89,972.24	100,027.93	111,010.73	117,517.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.20%	7.20%	7.20%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	66,863.33	67,497.10	68,130.88
Year 2 PV (M)	68,969.06	70,282.73	71,608.79
Year 3 PV (M)	70,991.05	73,028.95	75,105.48
Year 4 PV (M)	72,931.43	75,736.17	78,621.03
Year 5 PV (M)	74,792.28	78,404.78	82,155.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,884,066.77	1,975,067.90	2,069,551.85
Equity Value (M)	2,238,613.91	2,340,017.62	2,445,173.56
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,254.61	1,254.61	1,254.61
Fair Value	$1,784.32	$1,865.14	$1,948.96
Upside / Downside	23.57%	29.17%	34.97%

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Kweichow Moutai Co., Ltd. (600519.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener