Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Chien Kuo Construction Co., Ltd. (5515.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$68.48 - $281.76$117.61
Multi-Stage$212.27 - $234.65$223.23
Blended Fair Value$170.42
Current Price$27.15
Upside527.71%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.56%-3.37%1.261.261.291.030.670.830.830.830.840.89
YoY Growth--0.00%-2.11%25.00%54.02%-20.00%0.00%0.00%-1.07%-4.85%-50.00%
Dividend Yield--4.04%4.80%8.03%5.81%3.90%7.91%4.94%4.77%5.82%6.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)494.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)252.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)242.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)98.8261.7637.06
Cash Retained (M)242.11242.11242.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-98.82-61.76-37.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)143.28180.34205.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)200.32200.32200.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.720.901.02
LTM Dividend per Share1.261.261.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.720.901.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.972.162.28
WACC / Discount Rate0.13%0.13%0.13%
Growth Rate-2.68%-1.68%-0.68%
Fair Value$68.48$117.61$281.76
Upside / Downside152.24%333.19%937.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)494.11485.83477.69469.69461.82454.08467.71
Payout Ratio51.00%58.80%66.60%74.40%82.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)252.00285.67318.15349.45379.62408.68432.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.13%0.13%0.13%
Growth Rate-2.68%-1.68%-0.68%
Year 1 PV (M)282.40285.30288.21
Year 2 PV (M)310.90317.33323.81
Year 3 PV (M)337.59348.10358.83
Year 4 PV (M)362.53377.66393.26
Year 5 PV (M)385.81406.05427.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)40,842.8042,984.6445,215.40
Equity Value (M)42,522.0444,719.0847,006.63
Shares Outstanding (M)200.32200.32200.32
Fair Value$212.27$223.23$234.65
Upside / Downside681.83%722.22%764.28%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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