Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

United Recommend International Co., Ltd. (5321.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$138.11 - $162.72$152.49
Multi-Stage$39.91 - $43.70$41.77
Blended Fair Value$97.13
Current Price$40.85
Upside137.78%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS39.10%0.00%0.770.520.320.000.180.150.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--48.00%60.99%0.00%-100.00%20.75%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.65%0.72%0.50%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)44.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)36.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)7.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.865.533.32
Cash Retained (M)7.517.517.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.86-5.53-3.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)-1.341.984.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)54.1254.1254.12
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.040.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.680.680.68
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.040.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.650.720.76
WACC / Discount Rate5.18%5.18%5.18%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$138.11$152.49$162.72
Upside / Downside238.10%273.30%298.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)44.2847.1650.2253.4956.9660.6662.48
Payout Ratio83.04%84.43%85.82%87.21%88.61%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)36.7739.8143.1046.6550.4754.6057.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.18%5.18%5.18%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)37.5037.8538.21
Year 2 PV (M)38.2338.9639.70
Year 3 PV (M)38.9740.0941.23
Year 4 PV (M)39.7141.2442.81
Year 5 PV (M)40.4642.4144.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,964.922,059.832,158.37
Equity Value (M)2,159.792,260.382,364.75
Shares Outstanding (M)54.1254.1254.12
Fair Value$39.91$41.77$43.70
Upside / Downside-2.30%2.25%6.97%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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