DDM Analysis: 5263.KL

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$4.26 - $9.62	$6.18
Multi-Stage	$3.70 - $4.03	$3.86
Blended Fair Value	$5.02
Current Price	$6.00
Upside	-16.33%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	5.13%	-12.23%	0.09	0.05	0.07	0.04	0.05	0.07	0.07	0.05	0.06	0.05
YoY Growth	-	-	63.64%	-21.43%	75.00%	-15.79%	-32.22%	-6.77%	36.33%	-15.41%	20.06%	-83.64%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.03%	1.89%	4.20%	2.32%	2.63%	4.63%	3.86%	2.67%	3.69%	3.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	275.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	174.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)	100.75

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	55.05	34.41	20.64
Cash Retained (M)	100.75	100.75	100.75
(-) Cash Required (M)	-55.05	-34.41	-20.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)	45.70	66.34	80.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,293.66	1,293.66	1,293.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.04	0.05	0.06
LTM Dividend per Share	0.13	0.13	0.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.04	0.05	0.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.17	0.19	0.20
WACC / Discount Rate	8.65%	8.65%	8.65%
Growth Rate	4.47%	5.47%	6.47%
Fair Value	$4.26	$6.18	$9.62
Upside / Downside	-29.07%	2.97%	60.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	275.25	290.31	306.20	322.97	340.64	359.29	370.07
Payout Ratio	63.40%	68.72%	74.04%	79.36%	84.68%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	174.50	199.50	226.71	256.30	288.46	323.36	342.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.65%	8.65%	8.65%
Growth Rate	4.47%	5.47%	6.47%
Year 1 PV (M)	181.87	183.61	185.35
Year 2 PV (M)	188.42	192.04	195.70
Year 3 PV (M)	194.19	199.82	205.56
Year 4 PV (M)	199.24	206.98	214.94
Year 5 PV (M)	203.62	213.55	223.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)	3,813.66	3,999.70	4,192.94
Equity Value (M)	4,781.00	4,995.71	5,218.36
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,293.66	1,293.66	1,293.66
Fair Value	$3.70	$3.86	$4.03
Upside / Downside	-38.40%	-35.64%	-32.77%

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Financial Statements

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Sunway Construction Group Bhd (5263.KL)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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