Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Gas Malaysia Berhad (5209.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated GasSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.96 - $9.55$6.80
Multi-Stage$8.27 - $9.07$8.66
Blended Fair Value$7.73
Current Price$4.31
Upside79.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS11.09%0.00%0.230.230.190.160.140.140.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--3.41%20.30%20.32%15.13%-1.81%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.36%6.49%5.94%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)407.05
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)336.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)70.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)81.4150.8830.53
Cash Retained (M)70.7770.7770.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-81.41-50.88-30.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)-10.6419.8940.24
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,284.001,284.001,284.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.020.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.260.260.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.020.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.250.280.29
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate1.16%2.16%3.16%
Fair Value$4.96$6.80$9.55
Upside / Downside15.19%57.77%121.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)407.05415.84424.81433.98443.35452.92466.51
Payout Ratio82.61%84.09%85.57%87.05%88.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)336.28349.68363.50377.76392.46407.63431.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate1.16%2.16%3.16%
Year 1 PV (M)325.66328.88332.10
Year 2 PV (M)315.27321.54327.86
Year 3 PV (M)305.13314.27323.59
Year 4 PV (M)295.23307.08319.28
Year 5 PV (M)285.57299.96314.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,089.789,548.0410,024.59
Equity Value (M)10,616.6411,119.7611,642.35
Shares Outstanding (M)1,284.001,284.001,284.00
Fair Value$8.27$8.66$9.07
Upside / Downside91.84%100.93%110.38%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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