DDM Analysis: 5206.TWO

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$77.58 - $139.23	$103.43
Multi-Stage	$198.19 - $218.42	$208.11
Blended Fair Value	$155.77
Current Price	$34.82
Upside	347.35%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	14.29%	0.00%	1.25	0.48	0.46	1.25	0.69	0.64	0.64	0.46	0.46	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	160.00%	4.17%	-63.08%	82.00%	7.14%	0.00%	40.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.30%	1.55%	2.85%	8.97%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	925.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	202.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)	722.50

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	185.04	115.65	69.39
Cash Retained (M)	722.50	722.50	722.50
(-) Cash Required (M)	-185.04	-115.65	-69.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)	537.46	606.85	653.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	162.52	162.52	162.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share	3.31	3.73	4.02
LTM Dividend per Share	1.25	1.25	1.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share	3.31	3.73	4.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend	4.55	4.98	5.27
WACC / Discount Rate	5.22%	5.22%	5.22%
Growth Rate	-0.61%	0.39%	1.39%
Fair Value	$77.58	$103.43	$139.23
Upside / Downside	122.80%	197.04%	299.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	925.20	928.79	932.39	936.01	939.64	943.29	971.59
Payout Ratio	21.91%	35.53%	49.15%	62.76%	76.38%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	202.70	329.97	458.23	587.47	717.72	848.96	898.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	5.22%	5.22%	5.22%
Growth Rate	-0.61%	0.39%	1.39%
Year 1 PV (M)	310.47	313.59	316.72
Year 2 PV (M)	405.66	413.87	422.15
Year 3 PV (M)	489.35	504.27	519.49
Year 4 PV (M)	562.50	585.48	609.16
Year 5 PV (M)	626.04	658.17	691.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)	29,815.32	31,345.75	32,938.40
Equity Value (M)	32,209.33	33,821.13	35,497.53
Shares Outstanding (M)	162.52	162.52	162.52
Fair Value	$198.19	$208.11	$218.42
Upside / Downside	469.18%	497.66%	527.29%

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Kunyue Development Co., Ltd. (5206.TWO)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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