DDM Analysis: 4561.TWO

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$11.96 - $19.98	$15.49
Multi-Stage	$43.05 - $47.44	$45.20
Blended Fair Value	$30.34
Current Price	$44.85
Upside	-32.34%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	1.00	0.70	0.90	0.90	0.25	1.00	0.64	0.16	0.13	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	42.86%	-22.22%	0.00%	260.01%	-75.00%	55.71%	295.08%	23.74%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.88%	2.02%	4.01%	3.27%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	60.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	58.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2.12

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	12.13	7.58	4.55
Cash Retained (M)	2.12	2.12	2.12
(-) Cash Required (M)	-12.13	-7.58	-4.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-10.01	-5.46	-2.42
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	58.38	58.38	58.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.17	-0.09	-0.04
LTM Dividend per Share	1.00	1.00	1.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.17	-0.09	-0.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.83	0.91	0.96
WACC / Discount Rate	4.81%	4.81%	4.81%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$11.96	$15.49	$19.98
Upside / Downside	-73.33%	-65.46%	-55.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	60.65	60.04	59.44	58.84	58.26	57.67	59.40
Payout Ratio	96.50%	95.20%	93.90%	92.60%	91.30%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	58.52	57.16	55.81	54.49	53.19	51.91	54.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	4.81%	4.81%	4.81%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	53.98	54.53	55.08
Year 2 PV (M)	49.79	50.81	51.84
Year 3 PV (M)	45.91	47.33	48.78
Year 4 PV (M)	42.32	44.08	45.88
Year 5 PV (M)	39.01	41.04	43.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,282.14	2,400.98	2,524.71
Equity Value (M)	2,513.15	2,638.76	2,769.45
Shares Outstanding (M)	58.38	58.38	58.38
Fair Value	$43.05	$45.20	$47.44
Upside / Downside	-4.02%	0.78%	5.77%

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Financial Statements

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Sector

Kenturn Nano. Tec. Co., Ltd. (4561.TWO)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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