DDM Analysis: 4165.SR

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$62.46 - $94.23	$77.45
Multi-Stage	$131.01 - $143.80	$137.28
Blended Fair Value	$107.37
Current Price	$148.10
Upside	-27.50%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	5.00	1.58	3.92	4.72	2.92	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	216.46%	-59.69%	-16.95%	61.64%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.65%	1.29%	3.21%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	182.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	150.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	32.68

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	36.54	22.84	13.70
Cash Retained (M)	32.68	32.68	32.68
(-) Cash Required (M)	-36.54	-22.84	-13.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-3.85	9.85	18.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	24.99	24.99	24.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.15	0.39	0.76
LTM Dividend per Share	6.00	6.00	6.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.15	0.39	0.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend	5.85	6.40	6.76
WACC / Discount Rate	7.17%	7.17%	7.17%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$62.46	$77.45	$94.23
Upside / Downside	-57.83%	-47.70%	-36.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	182.68	180.86	179.05	177.26	175.48	173.73	178.94
Payout Ratio	82.11%	83.69%	85.27%	86.84%	88.42%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	150.00	151.35	152.67	153.94	155.17	156.36	165.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.17%	7.17%	7.17%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	139.80	141.22	142.65
Year 2 PV (M)	130.24	132.91	135.61
Year 3 PV (M)	121.29	125.05	128.87
Year 4 PV (M)	112.93	117.61	122.43
Year 5 PV (M)	105.10	110.58	116.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,665.20	2,803.98	2,948.48
Equity Value (M)	3,274.55	3,431.34	3,594.32
Shares Outstanding (M)	24.99	24.99	24.99
Fair Value	$131.01	$137.28	$143.80
Upside / Downside	-11.54%	-7.31%	-2.90%

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Al Majed Oud Co. (4165.SR)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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