DDM Analysis: 4161.SR

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2.18 - $3.39	$2.74
Multi-Stage	$5.25 - $5.77	$5.50
Blended Fair Value	$4.12
Current Price	$5.65
Upside	-27.06%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	-1.41%	0.00%	0.20	0.20	0.16	0.13	0.28	0.22	0.18	0.25	0.22	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-0.15%	29.03%	24.00%	-55.16%	30.04%	16.67%	-26.80%	13.18%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.21%	2.28%	2.36%	1.31%	2.57%	2.04%	1.75%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	262.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	228.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)	34.53

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	52.52	32.82	19.69
Cash Retained (M)	34.53	34.53	34.53
(-) Cash Required (M)	-52.52	-32.82	-19.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-17.99	1.70	14.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,137.34	1,137.34	1,137.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.02	0.00	0.01
LTM Dividend per Share	0.20	0.20	0.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.02	0.00	0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.18	0.20	0.21
WACC / Discount Rate	6.30%	6.30%	6.30%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$2.18	$2.74	$3.39
Upside / Downside	-61.40%	-51.51%	-40.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	262.59	259.96	257.36	254.79	252.24	249.72	257.21
Payout Ratio	86.85%	87.48%	88.11%	88.74%	89.37%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	228.06	227.42	226.76	226.10	225.43	224.75	237.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.30%	6.30%	6.30%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	211.78	213.94	216.10
Year 2 PV (M)	196.65	200.68	204.76
Year 3 PV (M)	182.59	188.24	194.00
Year 4 PV (M)	169.53	176.56	183.80
Year 5 PV (M)	157.40	165.59	174.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)	5,050.06	5,313.03	5,586.84
Equity Value (M)	5,968.01	6,258.04	6,559.62
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,137.34	1,137.34	1,137.34
Fair Value	$5.25	$5.50	$5.77
Upside / Downside	-7.13%	-2.61%	2.08%

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Financial Statements

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Bin Dawood Holding Company (4161.SR)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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