DDM Analysis: 4142.SR

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$158.49 - $394.10	$237.47
Multi-Stage	$113.88 - $124.23	$118.96
Blended Fair Value	$178.21
Current Price	$127.00
Upside	40.33%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018
DPS	14.33%	0.00%	3.00	2.50	1.56	1.31	1.19	1.54	1.96	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	19.78%	60.70%	18.97%	9.84%	-22.34%	-21.70%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.34%	2.54%	2.95%	3.46%	3.15%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,069.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	524.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)	545.17

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	213.86	133.66	80.20
Cash Retained (M)	545.17	545.17	545.17
(-) Cash Required (M)	-213.86	-133.66	-80.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)	331.31	411.51	464.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	149.82	149.82	149.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.21	2.75	3.10
LTM Dividend per Share	3.50	3.50	3.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.21	2.75	3.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend	5.71	6.25	6.60
WACC / Discount Rate	9.30%	9.30%	9.30%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$158.49	$237.47	$394.10
Upside / Downside	24.79%	86.98%	210.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,069.30	1,138.81	1,212.83	1,291.66	1,375.62	1,465.04	1,508.99
Payout Ratio	49.02%	57.21%	65.41%	73.61%	81.80%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	524.13	651.55	793.31	950.75	1,125.30	1,318.53	1,395.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.30%	9.30%	9.30%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	590.51	596.10	601.70
Year 2 PV (M)	651.63	664.04	676.57
Year 3 PV (M)	707.79	728.11	748.81
Year 4 PV (M)	759.25	788.45	818.48
Year 5 PV (M)	806.28	845.23	885.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)	13,546.43	14,200.73	14,880.07
Equity Value (M)	17,061.90	17,822.66	18,611.30
Shares Outstanding (M)	149.82	149.82	149.82
Fair Value	$113.88	$118.96	$124.23
Upside / Downside	-10.33%	-6.33%	-2.18%

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Financial Statements

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Riyadh Cables Group Company (4142.SR)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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