Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

GeoVision Inc. (3356.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Security & Protection ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$34.83 - $49.68$42.12
Multi-Stage$89.70 - $98.85$94.18
Blended Fair Value$68.15
Current Price$53.20
Upside28.11%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%-5.49%3.241.561.341.120.000.000.000.953.824.69
YoY Growth--107.14%16.67%20.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-75.13%-18.52%-17.50%
Dividend Yield--6.12%2.50%2.79%3.44%0.00%0.00%0.00%2.87%9.50%7.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)426.97
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)260.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)166.49
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)85.3953.3732.02
Cash Retained (M)166.49166.49166.49
(-) Cash Required (M)-85.39-53.37-32.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)81.09113.12134.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)80.5180.5180.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.011.411.67
LTM Dividend per Share3.243.243.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.011.411.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.244.644.91
WACC / Discount Rate6.79%6.79%6.79%
Growth Rate-4.81%-3.81%-2.81%
Fair Value$34.83$42.12$49.68
Upside / Downside-34.54%-20.82%-6.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)426.97410.72395.08380.04365.57351.65362.20
Payout Ratio61.01%66.81%72.60%78.40%84.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)260.48274.38286.84297.96307.81316.49335.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.79%6.79%6.79%
Growth Rate-4.81%-3.81%-2.81%
Year 1 PV (M)254.27256.94259.61
Year 2 PV (M)246.32251.53256.78
Year 3 PV (M)237.11244.66252.37
Year 4 PV (M)226.99236.68246.68
Year 5 PV (M)216.27227.88239.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,040.746,364.776,702.55
Equity Value (M)7,221.717,582.457,957.96
Shares Outstanding (M)80.5180.5180.51
Fair Value$89.70$94.18$98.85
Upside / Downside68.61%77.03%85.80%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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