DDM Analysis: 3306.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$337.05 - $663.63	$621.92
Multi-Stage	$105.49 - $115.33	$110.32
Blended Fair Value	$366.12
Current Price	$15.78
Upside	2,220.17%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	23.42%	50.86%	1.21	1.39	0.75	1.17	0.76	0.42	0.66	0.67	0.44	0.45
YoY Growth	-	-	-13.37%	85.40%	-35.98%	54.63%	80.10%	-35.72%	-1.82%	51.43%	-1.61%	2,168.08%
Dividend Yield	-	-	7.64%	9.75%	9.56%	15.33%	6.61%	5.95%	5.05%	4.40%	7.83%	7.62%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,741.74
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,355.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)	385.84

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	348.35	217.72	130.63
Cash Retained (M)	385.84	385.84	385.84
(-) Cash Required (M)	-348.35	-217.72	-130.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)	37.49	168.12	255.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	521.96	521.96	521.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.07	0.32	0.49
LTM Dividend per Share	2.60	2.60	2.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.07	0.32	0.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.67	2.92	3.09
WACC / Discount Rate	6.34%	6.34%	6.34%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$337.05	$621.92	$663.63
Upside / Downside	2,035.93%	3,841.19%	4,105.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,741.74	1,854.95	1,975.52	2,103.93	2,240.69	2,386.33	2,457.92
Payout Ratio	77.85%	80.28%	82.71%	85.14%	87.57%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,355.90	1,489.12	1,633.93	1,791.27	1,962.16	2,147.70	2,273.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.34%	6.34%	6.34%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,387.25	1,400.40	1,413.55
Year 2 PV (M)	1,418.02	1,445.02	1,472.29
Year 3 PV (M)	1,448.21	1,489.79	1,532.15
Year 4 PV (M)	1,477.85	1,534.69	1,593.14
Year 5 PV (M)	1,506.93	1,579.72	1,655.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)	47,825.27	50,135.25	52,533.63
Equity Value (M)	55,063.53	57,584.86	60,200.05
Shares Outstanding (M)	521.96	521.96	521.96
Fair Value	$105.49	$110.32	$115.33
Upside / Downside	568.53%	599.14%	630.89%

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601236.SS	Hongta Securities Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.20	95.69%
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0U96.L	Everest Re Group, Ltd.	2.41%	$8.07	61.23%
3591.T	Wacoal Holdings Corp.	2.41%	$106.27	49.77%
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JNBY Design Limited (3306.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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