DDM Analysis: 3167.T

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$880.32 - $1,422.29	$1,124.24
Multi-Stage	$1,071.86 - $1,172.37	$1,121.18
Blended Fair Value	$1,122.71
Current Price	$1,041.00
Upside	7.85%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	3.94%	12.38%	34.14	32.14	33.15	31.15	28.14	28.14	28.10	30.56	16.51	10.65
YoY Growth	-	-	6.24%	-3.05%	6.41%	10.71%	0.00%	0.14%	-8.04%	85.08%	55.03%	0.22%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.44%	3.29%	3.68%	3.51%	3.11%	2.83%	3.01%	2.85%	1.97%	1.63%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	10,439.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	4,460.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	5,979.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	2,087.80	1,304.88	782.93
Cash Retained (M)	5,979.00	5,979.00	5,979.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-2,087.80	-1,304.88	-782.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)	3,891.20	4,674.13	5,196.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	130.71	130.71	130.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share	29.77	35.76	39.75
LTM Dividend per Share	34.12	34.12	34.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share	29.77	35.76	39.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend	63.89	69.88	73.87
WACC / Discount Rate	9.34%	9.34%	9.34%
Growth Rate	1.94%	2.94%	3.94%
Fair Value	$880.32	$1,124.24	$1,422.29
Upside / Downside	-15.44%	8.00%	36.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	10,439.00	10,746.41	11,062.88	11,388.67	11,724.05	12,069.31	12,431.39
Payout Ratio	42.72%	52.18%	61.63%	71.09%	80.54%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	4,460.00	5,607.43	6,818.57	8,096.18	9,443.12	10,862.38	11,499.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.34%	9.34%	9.34%
Growth Rate	1.94%	2.94%	3.94%
Year 1 PV (M)	5,078.44	5,128.25	5,178.07
Year 2 PV (M)	5,592.76	5,703.02	5,814.35
Year 3 PV (M)	6,014.22	6,192.95	6,375.18
Year 4 PV (M)	6,353.04	6,606.00	6,866.45
Year 5 PV (M)	6,618.46	6,949.50	7,293.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)	110,444.15	115,968.33	121,711.37
Equity Value (M)	140,101.07	146,548.05	153,239.08
Shares Outstanding (M)	130.71	130.71	130.71
Fair Value	$1,071.86	$1,121.18	$1,172.37
Upside / Downside	2.96%	7.70%	12.62%

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TOKAI Holdings Corporation (3167.T)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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