DDM Analysis: 300976.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$48.08 - $102.09	$68.28
Multi-Stage	$35.94 - $39.21	$37.54
Blended Fair Value	$52.91
Current Price	$72.80
Upside	-27.32%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2015	2014
DPS	130.01%	0.00%	0.20	0.66	0.99	0.46	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-70.17%	-33.14%	116.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-58.22%	-49.31%	3,194.83%	-46.74%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.42%	2.30%	2.66%	1.03%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	290.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	104.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)	186.06

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	58.12	36.33	21.80
Cash Retained (M)	186.06	186.06	186.06
(-) Cash Required (M)	-58.12	-36.33	-21.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)	127.94	149.73	164.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	113.56	113.56	113.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.13	1.32	1.45
LTM Dividend per Share	0.92	0.92	0.92
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.13	1.32	1.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.05	2.24	2.37
WACC / Discount Rate	9.99%	9.99%	9.99%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$48.08	$68.28	$102.09
Upside / Downside	-33.96%	-6.21%	40.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	290.61	309.50	329.61	351.04	373.86	398.16	410.10
Payout Ratio	35.98%	46.78%	57.59%	68.39%	79.20%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	104.55	144.79	189.81	240.08	296.08	358.34	379.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.99%	9.99%	9.99%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	130.40	131.63	132.87
Year 2 PV (M)	153.96	156.89	159.85
Year 3 PV (M)	175.38	180.41	185.54
Year 4 PV (M)	194.79	202.28	209.98
Year 5 PV (M)	212.32	222.58	233.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)	3,214.38	3,369.63	3,530.83
Equity Value (M)	4,081.22	4,263.43	4,452.30
Shares Outstanding (M)	113.56	113.56	113.56
Fair Value	$35.94	$37.54	$39.21
Upside / Downside	-50.63%	-48.43%	-46.15%

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Financial Statements

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Dongguan Tarry Electronics Co.,Ltd (300976.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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