DDM Analysis: 300841.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$28.16 - $63.48	$40.84
Multi-Stage	$21.65 - $23.57	$22.59
Blended Fair Value	$31.71
Current Price	$76.45
Upside	-58.52%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	246.94%	0.00%	2.06	0.55	1.05	0.69	0.00	0.00	0.05	0.16	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	273.88%	-47.64%	52.02%	38,896.21%	-56.69%	-91.03%	-72.07%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.36%	0.88%	1.14%	0.59%	0.00%	0.01%	0.10%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	181.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	140.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)	41.73

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	36.37	22.73	13.64
Cash Retained (M)	41.73	41.73	41.73
(-) Cash Required (M)	-36.37	-22.73	-13.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)	5.36	19.00	28.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	130.14	130.14	130.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.04	0.15	0.22
LTM Dividend per Share	1.08	1.08	1.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.04	0.15	0.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.12	1.22	1.29
WACC / Discount Rate	9.69%	9.69%	9.69%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$28.16	$40.84	$63.48
Upside / Downside	-63.17%	-46.59%	-16.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	181.86	193.68	206.27	219.68	233.96	249.16	256.64
Payout Ratio	77.05%	79.64%	82.23%	84.82%	87.41%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	140.13	154.25	169.62	186.33	204.50	224.25	237.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.69%	9.69%	9.69%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	139.31	140.63	141.95
Year 2 PV (M)	138.34	140.98	143.64
Year 3 PV (M)	137.25	141.19	145.20
Year 4 PV (M)	136.04	141.27	146.65
Year 5 PV (M)	134.72	141.23	147.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,132.12	2,235.10	2,342.03
Equity Value (M)	2,817.78	2,940.40	3,067.45
Shares Outstanding (M)	130.14	130.14	130.14
Fair Value	$21.65	$22.59	$23.57
Upside / Downside	-71.68%	-70.45%	-69.17%

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Financial Statements

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Sector

Chengdu Kanghua Biological Products Co., Ltd. (300841.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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