DDM Analysis: 300739.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2.53 - $4.63	$3.40
Multi-Stage	$2.49 - $2.71	$2.60
Blended Fair Value	$3.00
Current Price	$16.29
Upside	-81.58%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-0.97%	53.03%	0.22	0.36	0.28	0.30	0.22	0.23	0.13	0.10	0.06	0.18
YoY Growth	-	-	-39.06%	27.24%	-5.09%	36.10%	-4.90%	76.09%	29.46%	75.32%	-67.29%	5,554.79%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.64%	2.67%	1.81%	2.10%	1.49%	1.35%	0.79%	0.54%	0.40%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	51.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	49.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1.92

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	10.37	6.48	3.89
Cash Retained (M)	1.92	1.92	1.92
(-) Cash Required (M)	-10.37	-6.48	-3.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-8.45	-4.56	-1.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	303.42	303.42	303.42
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01
LTM Dividend per Share	0.16	0.16	0.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.14	0.15	0.16
WACC / Discount Rate	9.91%	9.91%	9.91%
Growth Rate	4.28%	5.28%	6.28%
Fair Value	$2.53	$3.40	$4.63
Upside / Downside	-84.45%	-79.12%	-71.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	51.87	54.60	57.49	60.52	63.72	67.08	69.09
Payout Ratio	96.29%	95.03%	93.78%	92.52%	91.26%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	49.94	51.89	53.91	55.99	58.15	60.37	63.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.91%	9.91%	9.91%
Growth Rate	4.28%	5.28%	6.28%
Year 1 PV (M)	46.77	47.22	47.66
Year 2 PV (M)	43.78	44.63	45.48
Year 3 PV (M)	40.98	42.17	43.39
Year 4 PV (M)	38.36	39.85	41.38
Year 5 PV (M)	35.89	37.64	39.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)	549.99	576.87	604.80
Equity Value (M)	755.77	788.38	822.18
Shares Outstanding (M)	303.42	303.42	303.42
Fair Value	$2.49	$2.60	$2.71
Upside / Downside	-84.71%	-84.05%	-83.37%

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Sunshine Global Circuits Co.,Ltd. (300739.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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