DDM Analysis: 300144.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$5.96 - $13.13	$8.57
Multi-Stage	$4.56 - $4.97	$4.76
Blended Fair Value	$6.67
Current Price	$8.76
Upside	-23.88%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	8.88%	16.94%	0.10	0.05	0.05	0.06	0.11	0.07	0.07	0.06	0.05	0.03
YoY Growth	-	-	86.95%	-0.82%	-0.55%	-51.44%	70.91%	-1.70%	13.14%	25.39%	49.43%	49.97%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.11%	0.50%	0.34%	0.42%	0.53%	0.48%	0.52%	0.52%	0.44%	0.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	794.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	527.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)	267.27

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	158.91	99.32	59.59
Cash Retained (M)	267.27	267.27	267.27
(-) Cash Required (M)	-158.91	-99.32	-59.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)	108.35	167.95	207.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,619.36	2,619.36	2,619.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.04	0.06	0.08
LTM Dividend per Share	0.20	0.20	0.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.04	0.06	0.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.24	0.27	0.28
WACC / Discount Rate	9.80%	9.80%	9.80%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$5.96	$8.57	$13.13
Upside / Downside	-31.99%	-2.13%	49.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	794.57	846.22	901.22	959.80	1,022.19	1,088.63	1,121.29
Payout Ratio	66.36%	71.09%	75.82%	80.55%	85.27%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	527.30	601.58	683.29	773.07	871.65	979.77	1,037.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.80%	9.80%	9.80%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	542.76	547.90	553.05
Year 2 PV (M)	556.19	566.79	577.48
Year 3 PV (M)	567.75	584.04	600.65
Year 4 PV (M)	577.54	599.75	622.60
Year 5 PV (M)	585.70	613.99	643.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)	9,121.71	9,562.29	10,019.73
Equity Value (M)	11,951.65	12,474.77	13,016.88
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,619.36	2,619.36	2,619.36
Fair Value	$4.56	$4.76	$4.97
Upside / Downside	-47.91%	-45.63%	-43.27%

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Financial Statements

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Songcheng Performance Development Co.,Ltd (300144.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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