Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Air Busan Co., Ltd. (298690.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Airlines, Airports & Air ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$75,872.78 - $89,390.99$83,772.45
Multi-Stage$30,860.12 - $33,858.89$32,331.56
Blended Fair Value$58,052.01
Current Price$2,145.00
Upside2,606.39%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.09%0.00%72.06106.0381.4754.8015.4444.5740.3241.1842.8942.89
YoY Growth---32.03%30.14%48.66%254.93%-65.36%10.55%-2.08%-3.99%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.52%3.69%2.04%0.93%0.21%0.80%0.49%0.42%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)52,402.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,741.53
(=) Cash Retained (M)46,660.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10,480.406,550.253,930.15
Cash Retained (M)46,660.4746,660.4746,660.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-10,480.40-6,550.25-3,930.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)36,180.0740,110.2242,730.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)116.58116.58116.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share310.34344.05366.52
LTM Dividend per Share49.2549.2549.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share310.34344.05366.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend359.59393.30415.77
WACC / Discount Rate4.52%4.52%4.52%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$75,872.78$83,772.45$89,390.99
Upside / Downside3,437.19%3,805.48%4,067.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)52,402.0055,808.1359,435.6663,298.9867,413.4171,795.2873,949.14
Payout Ratio10.96%26.77%42.57%58.38%74.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,741.5314,937.2525,304.1536,955.6450,014.9164,615.7568,402.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.52%4.52%4.52%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)14,156.9914,291.1814,425.37
Year 2 PV (M)22,729.6323,162.5623,599.58
Year 3 PV (M)31,461.6532,364.8033,285.07
Year 4 PV (M)40,355.3041,907.2543,503.54
Year 5 PV (M)49,412.8351,799.4954,277.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,439,641.513,605,777.483,778,271.86
Equity Value (M)3,597,757.903,769,302.763,947,362.91
Shares Outstanding (M)116.58116.58116.58
Fair Value$30,860.12$32,331.56$33,858.89
Upside / Downside1,338.70%1,407.30%1,478.50%

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