DDM Analysis: 2971.T

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$694,738.55 - $2,140,744.19	$2,006,190.82
Multi-Stage	$293,672.08 - $321,065.45	$307,118.66
Blended Fair Value	$1,156,654.74
Current Price	$124,300.00
Upside	830.53%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018
DPS	8.26%	0.00%	6,424.92	6,341.69	8,709.04	6,299.85	5,533.62	4,321.13	1,181.74	65.50	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	1.31%	-27.18%	38.24%	13.85%	28.06%	265.66%	1,704.27%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.75%	4.97%	7.36%	5.29%	3.69%	4.45%	1.07%	0.07%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,865.47
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	2,325.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,539.92

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	773.09	483.18	289.91
Cash Retained (M)	1,539.92	1,539.92	1,539.92
(-) Cash Required (M)	-773.09	-483.18	-289.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)	766.83	1,056.74	1,250.01
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	0.36	0.36	0.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2,135.41	2,942.73	3,480.94
LTM Dividend per Share	6,476.01	6,476.01	6,476.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2,135.41	2,942.73	3,480.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend	8,611.42	9,418.74	9,956.95
WACC / Discount Rate	6.81%	6.81%	6.81%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$694,738.55	$2,006,190.82	$2,140,744.19
Upside / Downside	458.92%	1,513.99%	1,622.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,865.47	4,116.72	4,384.31	4,669.29	4,972.79	5,296.02	5,454.90
Payout Ratio	60.16%	66.13%	72.10%	78.06%	84.03%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	2,325.55	2,722.37	3,160.97	3,645.07	4,178.76	4,766.42	5,045.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.81%	6.81%	6.81%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	2,524.92	2,548.86	2,572.79
Year 2 PV (M)	2,719.07	2,770.86	2,823.14
Year 3 PV (M)	2,908.08	2,991.57	3,076.63
Year 4 PV (M)	3,092.06	3,210.98	3,333.28
Year 5 PV (M)	3,271.10	3,429.10	3,593.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)	90,942.84	95,335.42	99,896.10
Equity Value (M)	105,458.08	110,286.77	115,295.08
Shares Outstanding (M)	0.36	0.36	0.36
Fair Value	$293,672.08	$307,118.66	$321,065.45
Upside / Downside	136.26%	147.08%	158.30%

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Financial Statements

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Sector

Escon Japan REIT Investment Corporation (2971.T)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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