DDM Analysis: 2886.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$34.62 - $67.31	$63.08
Multi-Stage	$10.46 - $11.45	$10.95
Blended Fair Value	$37.01
Current Price	$1.03
Upside	3,493.33%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	4.13%	7.85%	0.05	0.10	0.09	0.08	0.03	0.04	0.05	0.04	0.04	0.03
YoY Growth	-	-	-52.15%	11.11%	13.92%	159.87%	-22.22%	-18.18%	10.00%	0.00%	37.36%	40.69%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.11%	6.87%	5.67%	4.94%	2.53%	2.65%	3.78%	2.40%	2.15%	1.28%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	462.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	169.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)	293.64

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	92.55	57.85	34.71
Cash Retained (M)	293.64	293.64	293.64
(-) Cash Required (M)	-92.55	-57.85	-34.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)	201.09	235.79	258.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,367.33	1,367.33	1,367.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.15	0.17	0.19
LTM Dividend per Share	0.12	0.12	0.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.15	0.17	0.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.27	0.30	0.31
WACC / Discount Rate	6.33%	6.33%	6.33%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$34.62	$63.08	$67.31
Upside / Downside	3,261.30%	6,024.03%	6,434.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	462.77	492.85	524.88	559.00	595.33	634.03	653.05
Payout Ratio	36.55%	47.24%	57.93%	68.62%	79.31%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	169.13	232.81	304.05	383.58	472.15	570.63	604.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.33%	6.33%	6.33%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	216.90	218.96	221.01
Year 2 PV (M)	263.93	268.95	274.03
Year 3 PV (M)	310.21	319.11	328.19
Year 4 PV (M)	355.76	369.44	383.51
Year 5 PV (M)	400.58	419.93	440.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)	12,753.38	13,369.37	14,008.94
Equity Value (M)	14,300.75	14,965.76	15,655.69
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,367.33	1,367.33	1,367.33
Fair Value	$10.46	$10.95	$11.45
Upside / Downside	915.42%	962.64%	1,011.63%

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Binhai Investment Company Limited (2886.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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