Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

YoungQin International Co., Ltd. (2755.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RestaurantsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$200.36 - $1,088.00$390.79
Multi-Stage$116.69 - $127.46$121.97
Blended Fair Value$256.38
Current Price$123.64
Upside107.36%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS22.11%0.00%2.950.961.091.090.491.090.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--208.25%-12.00%0.00%122.22%-54.95%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.91%1.19%1.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)200.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)108.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)92.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)40.1925.1215.07
Cash Retained (M)92.4492.4492.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-40.19-25.12-15.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)52.2567.3277.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)36.7336.7336.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.421.832.11
LTM Dividend per Share2.952.952.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.421.832.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.384.795.06
WACC / Discount Rate7.80%7.80%7.80%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$200.36$390.79$1,088.00
Upside / Downside62.05%216.07%779.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)200.94214.01227.92242.73258.51275.31283.57
Payout Ratio54.00%61.20%68.40%75.60%82.80%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)108.50130.97155.89183.50214.04247.78262.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.80%7.80%7.80%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)120.34121.49122.63
Year 2 PV (M)131.63134.14136.67
Year 3 PV (M)142.38146.46150.63
Year 4 PV (M)152.60158.47164.51
Year 5 PV (M)162.33170.17178.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,576.653,749.413,928.77
Equity Value (M)4,285.934,480.134,681.51
Shares Outstanding (M)36.7336.7336.73
Fair Value$116.69$121.97$127.46
Upside / Downside-5.62%-1.35%3.09%

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