DDM Analysis: 2715.T

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2,958.75 - $7,482.28	$4,457.10
Multi-Stage	$2,153.11 - $2,346.73	$2,248.18
Blended Fair Value	$3,352.64
Current Price	$1,728.00
Upside	94.02%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	20.54%	12.28%	88.99	63.01	39.98	27.99	34.97	34.97	17.51	22.52	42.47	30.01
YoY Growth	-	-	41.24%	57.61%	42.84%	-19.97%	0.00%	99.72%	-22.23%	-46.98%	41.50%	7.43%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.37%	3.46%	3.18%	2.14%	3.99%	3.28%	1.33%	2.46%	4.14%	2.04%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	5,375.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	3,480.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,895.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,075.00	671.88	403.13
Cash Retained (M)	1,895.00	1,895.00	1,895.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,075.00	-671.88	-403.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)	820.00	1,223.13	1,491.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	40.95	40.95	40.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share	20.03	29.87	36.43
LTM Dividend per Share	84.99	84.99	84.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share	20.03	29.87	36.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend	105.02	114.86	121.42
WACC / Discount Rate	9.24%	9.24%	9.24%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$2,958.75	$4,457.10	$7,482.28
Upside / Downside	71.22%	157.93%	333.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	5,375.00	5,724.38	6,096.46	6,492.73	6,914.76	7,364.22	7,585.14
Payout Ratio	64.74%	69.80%	74.85%	79.90%	84.95%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	3,480.00	3,995.35	4,562.99	5,187.54	5,874.01	6,627.79	7,016.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.24%	9.24%	9.24%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	3,622.91	3,657.25	3,691.59
Year 2 PV (M)	3,751.94	3,823.40	3,895.54
Year 3 PV (M)	3,867.86	3,978.89	4,092.03
Year 4 PV (M)	3,971.43	4,124.16	4,281.25
Year 5 PV (M)	4,063.35	4,259.62	4,463.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)	68,884.43	72,211.58	75,666.06
Equity Value (M)	88,161.92	92,054.90	96,089.86
Shares Outstanding (M)	40.95	40.95	40.95
Fair Value	$2,153.11	$2,248.18	$2,346.73
Upside / Downside	24.60%	30.10%	35.81%

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Financial Statements

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Elematec Corporation (2715.T)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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