DDM Analysis: 2669.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$89.18 - $194.34	$182.13
Multi-Stage	$29.15 - $31.92	$30.51
Blended Fair Value	$106.32
Current Price	$5.48
Upside	1,840.16%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	29.90%	0.00%	0.16	0.14	0.10	0.07	0.05	0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	13.79%	40.41%	35.04%	44.00%	19.05%	20.00%	34.62%	13.04%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.03%	2.33%	1.20%	0.87%	1.24%	0.86%	1.53%	1.20%	1.73%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,210.21
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	959.26
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,250.94

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	642.04	401.28	240.77
Cash Retained (M)	2,250.94	2,250.94	2,250.94
(-) Cash Required (M)	-642.04	-401.28	-240.77
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,608.90	1,849.67	2,010.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3,285.04	3,285.04	3,285.04
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.49	0.56	0.61
LTM Dividend per Share	0.29	0.29	0.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.49	0.56	0.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.78	0.86	0.90
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$89.18	$182.13	$194.34
Upside / Downside	1,527.45%	3,223.53%	3,446.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,210.21	3,418.87	3,641.10	3,877.77	4,129.82	4,398.26	4,530.21
Payout Ratio	29.88%	41.91%	53.93%	65.95%	77.98%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	959.26	1,432.69	1,963.61	2,557.49	3,220.28	3,958.43	4,190.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,333.56	1,346.20	1,358.84
Year 2 PV (M)	1,701.28	1,733.68	1,766.39
Year 3 PV (M)	2,062.50	2,121.71	2,182.04
Year 4 PV (M)	2,417.32	2,510.28	2,605.90
Year 5 PV (M)	2,765.82	2,899.41	3,038.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)	85,491.84	89,621.13	93,908.45
Equity Value (M)	95,772.31	100,232.40	104,859.73
Shares Outstanding (M)	3,285.04	3,285.04	3,285.04
Fair Value	$29.15	$30.51	$31.92
Upside / Downside	432.01%	456.78%	482.49%

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603599.SS	Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical Co., Ltd.	2.43%	$0.28	35.02%
605286.SS	Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery Co., Ltd.	2.43%	$0.99	75.51%
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MSAB-B.ST	Micro Systemation AB (publ)	2.43%	$1.50	65.33%
NEOE3.SA	Neoenergia S.A.	2.43%	$0.77	21.26%
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006730.KQ	Seobu T&D Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$309.73	27.66%
071050.KS	Korea Investment Holdings Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$3,984.93	13.09%
0DQK.L	Beter Bed Holding N.V.	2.42%	$0.15	53.98%
2409.TW	AUO Corporation	2.42%	$0.31	41.22%
300453.SZ	Jiangxi Sanxin Medtec Co.,Ltd.	2.42%	$0.21	45.08%
600064.SS	Nanjing Gaoke Company Limited	2.42%	$0.21	15.60%
601236.SS	Hongta Securities Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.20	95.69%
9550.SR	Sure Global Tech Company	2.42%	$1.52	28.67%
9562.SR	Foods Gate Trading Co.	2.42%	$0.67	13.40%
AEONTS-R.BK	AEON Thana Sinsap (Thailand) Public Company Limited	2.42%	$2.60	21.04%
NMAN.ST	Nederman Holding AB (publ)	2.42%	$4.00	47.45%
SALIK.AE	Salik Company P.J.S.C.	2.42%	$0.16	83.74%
SKMO.ST	Skåne-möllan AB (publ)	2.42%	$1.40	96.86%
001130.KS	Daehan Flour Mills Co.,Ltd	2.41%	$3,470.92	10.83%
080160.KQ	Modetour Network Inc.	2.41%	$249.37	24.80%
0U96.L	Everest Re Group, Ltd.	2.41%	$8.07	61.23%
3591.T	Wacoal Holdings Corp.	2.41%	$106.27	49.77%
601966.SS	Shandong Linglong Tyre Co.,Ltd.	2.41%	$0.35	42.43%
7951.T	Yamaha Corporation	2.41%	$26.35	66.95%
BORG.ST	Björn Borg AB (publ)	2.41%	$1.50	43.49%
EIOF.OL	Eidesvik Offshore ASA	2.41%	$0.30	28.32%
ETTE.HE	Etteplan Oyj	2.41%	$0.23	71.21%
ZZ-B.ST	Zinzino AB (publ)	2.41%	$3.76	58.64%
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BBL.AX	Brisbane Broncos Limited	2.40%	$0.04	25.15%
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Financial Statements

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Sector

China Overseas Property Holdings Limited (2669.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener