Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Best Mart 360 Holdings Limited (2360.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Discount StoresSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22.45 - $84.61$66.16
Multi-Stage$10.94 - $11.94$11.43
Blended Fair Value$38.80
Current Price$1.66
Upside2,237.13%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320232022202120202019201820172016
DPS17.82%0.00%0.170.190.160.040.020.080.020.000.000.00
YoY Growth---10.22%18.56%300.00%100.00%-73.33%275.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--10.26%10.60%7.69%3.05%1.05%4.05%0.59%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)425.44
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)349.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)75.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)85.0953.1831.91
Cash Retained (M)75.7575.7575.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-85.09-53.18-31.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)-9.3422.5743.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,000.001,000.001,000.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.020.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.020.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.340.370.39
WACC / Discount Rate7.10%7.10%7.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$22.45$66.16$84.61
Upside / Downside1,252.58%3,885.61%4,996.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)425.44453.10482.55513.91547.32582.89600.38
Payout Ratio82.20%83.76%85.32%86.88%88.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)349.69379.50411.70446.48484.04524.60555.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.10%7.10%7.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)351.01354.34357.67
Year 2 PV (M)352.22358.93365.70
Year 3 PV (M)353.31363.45373.78
Year 4 PV (M)354.28367.91381.92
Year 5 PV (M)355.15372.31390.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,171.679,614.6610,074.61
Equity Value (M)10,937.6411,431.5911,943.80
Shares Outstanding (M)1,000.001,000.001,000.00
Fair Value$10.94$11.43$11.94
Upside / Downside558.89%588.65%619.51%

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