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Definitive Analysis

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It'S Hanbul Co., Ltd. (226320.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7,082.06 - $10,422.78$8,686.56
Multi-Stage$18,887.84 - $20,774.09$19,812.32
Blended Fair Value$14,249.44
Current Price$12,040.00
Upside18.35%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS18.66%12.01%352.83149.98199.8999.9899.98149.98735.14778.251,039.43397.29
YoY Growth--135.25%-24.97%99.92%0.00%-33.33%-79.60%-5.54%-25.13%161.63%250.00%
Dividend Yield--3.29%1.21%1.15%0.48%0.37%1.40%2.44%1.15%2.47%0.47%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)16,352.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15,649.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)703.29
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,270.472,044.041,226.43
Cash Retained (M)703.29703.29703.29
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,270.47-2,044.04-1,226.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)-2,567.18-1,340.75-523.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.6217.6217.62
(=) Excess Retained per Share-145.70-76.10-29.69
LTM Dividend per Share888.18888.18888.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share-145.70-76.10-29.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend742.48812.08858.49
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate-3.67%-2.67%-1.67%
Fair Value$7,082.06$8,686.56$10,422.78
Upside / Downside-41.18%-27.85%-13.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)16,352.3415,915.4215,490.1815,076.3014,673.4814,281.4214,709.86
Payout Ratio95.70%94.56%93.42%92.28%91.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15,649.0515,049.5114,470.8413,912.3613,373.3812,853.2813,606.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate-3.67%-2.67%-1.67%
Year 1 PV (M)13,995.3914,140.6814,285.97
Year 2 PV (M)12,514.6712,775.8513,039.73
Year 3 PV (M)11,188.9411,541.0311,900.43
Year 4 PV (M)10,002.1210,423.9710,859.02
Year 5 PV (M)8,939.799,413.559,907.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)276,148.60290,783.06306,031.48
Equity Value (M)332,789.51349,078.14366,023.83
Shares Outstanding (M)17.6217.6217.62
Fair Value$18,887.84$19,812.32$20,774.09
Upside / Downside56.88%64.55%72.54%

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