DDM Analysis: 2229.T

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1,692.83 - $2,837.52	$2,195.30
Multi-Stage	$1,893.24 - $2,069.58	$1,979.78
Blended Fair Value	$2,087.54
Current Price	$2,745.00
Upside	-23.95%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	1.74%	9.08%	56.07	52.06	53.81	53.56	53.57	51.43	44.99	44.96	37.43	29.92
YoY Growth	-	-	7.70%	-3.26%	0.46%	-0.01%	4.17%	14.30%	0.07%	20.10%	25.12%	27.27%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.04%	1.68%	1.97%	1.96%	2.09%	1.72%	1.53%	1.08%	0.85%	0.70%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	17,347.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	7,257.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	10,090.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	3,469.40	2,168.38	1,301.03
Cash Retained (M)	10,090.00	10,090.00	10,090.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-3,469.40	-2,168.38	-1,301.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)	6,620.60	7,921.63	8,788.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	124.94	124.94	124.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share	52.99	63.40	70.35
LTM Dividend per Share	58.09	58.09	58.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share	52.99	63.40	70.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend	111.08	121.49	128.43
WACC / Discount Rate	9.45%	9.45%	9.45%
Growth Rate	2.71%	3.71%	4.71%
Fair Value	$1,692.83	$2,195.30	$2,837.52
Upside / Downside	-38.33%	-20.03%	3.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	17,347.00	17,990.52	18,657.92	19,350.08	20,067.91	20,812.37	21,436.74
Payout Ratio	41.83%	51.47%	61.10%	70.73%	80.37%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	7,257.00	9,259.27	11,400.10	13,687.03	16,127.95	18,731.13	19,828.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.45%	9.45%	9.45%
Growth Rate	2.71%	3.71%	4.71%
Year 1 PV (M)	8,378.31	8,459.88	8,541.46
Year 2 PV (M)	9,334.01	9,516.65	9,701.06
Year 3 PV (M)	10,140.26	10,439.33	10,744.23
Year 4 PV (M)	10,811.82	11,239.07	11,678.86
Year 5 PV (M)	11,362.23	11,926.23	12,512.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)	186,509.66	195,767.64	205,389.67
Equity Value (M)	236,536.29	247,348.81	258,567.69
Shares Outstanding (M)	124.94	124.94	124.94
Fair Value	$1,893.24	$1,979.78	$2,069.58
Upside / Downside	-31.03%	-27.88%	-24.61%

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Financial Statements

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Calbee, Inc. (2229.T)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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