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Chaoju Eye Care Holdings Limited (2219.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Care FacilitiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.97 - $7.58$6.19
Multi-Stage$10.94 - $12.02$11.47
Blended Fair Value$8.83
Current Price$2.60
Upside239.57%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.320.160.090.160.050.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--101.75%74.95%-44.48%232.35%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--11.94%4.06%2.42%3.14%0.41%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)387.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)325.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)61.32
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)77.4048.3829.03
Cash Retained (M)61.3261.3261.32
(-) Cash Required (M)-77.40-48.38-29.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)-16.0912.9432.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)691.75691.75691.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.020.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.470.470.47
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.020.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.450.490.52
WACC / Discount Rate6.83%6.83%6.83%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.97$6.19$7.58
Upside / Downside91.04%138.04%191.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)387.02383.15379.32375.53371.77368.05379.09
Payout Ratio84.16%85.33%86.49%87.66%88.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)325.70326.92328.09329.19330.25331.25350.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.83%6.83%6.83%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)302.93306.02309.11
Year 2 PV (M)281.69287.47293.31
Year 3 PV (M)261.90270.00278.26
Year 4 PV (M)243.45253.54263.94
Year 5 PV (M)226.27238.05250.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,252.726,578.326,917.34
Equity Value (M)7,568.977,933.408,312.28
Shares Outstanding (M)691.75691.75691.75
Fair Value$10.94$11.47$12.02
Upside / Downside320.84%341.10%362.17%

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