DDM Analysis: 2020.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$258.83 - $832.80	$418.37
Multi-Stage	$171.48 - $187.27	$179.23
Blended Fair Value	$298.80
Current Price	$86.20
Upside	246.63%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	33.80%	18.94%	2.09	1.38	1.29	0.83	0.48	0.49	0.83	0.67	0.53	0.46
YoY Growth	-	-	50.97%	7.20%	55.62%	71.72%	-0.85%	-41.61%	25.21%	25.69%	15.54%	24.44%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.86%	2.08%	1.43%	0.87%	0.47%	0.78%	2.53%	2.27%	2.56%	2.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	28,115.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	11,285.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	16,830.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	5,623.00	3,514.38	2,108.63
Cash Retained (M)	16,830.00	16,830.00	16,830.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-5,623.00	-3,514.38	-2,108.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)	11,207.00	13,315.63	14,721.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,905.40	2,905.40	2,905.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share	3.86	4.58	5.07
LTM Dividend per Share	3.88	3.88	3.88
(+) Excess Retained per Share	3.86	4.58	5.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend	7.74	8.47	8.95
WACC / Discount Rate	8.66%	8.66%	8.66%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$258.83	$418.37	$832.80
Upside / Downside	200.27%	385.35%	866.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	28,115.00	29,942.48	31,888.74	33,961.50	36,169.00	38,519.99	39,675.59
Payout Ratio	40.14%	50.11%	60.08%	70.06%	80.03%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	11,285.00	15,004.47	19,159.78	23,791.90	28,945.24	34,667.99	36,699.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.66%	8.66%	8.66%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	13,679.56	13,809.22	13,938.88
Year 2 PV (M)	15,925.51	16,228.85	16,535.05
Year 3 PV (M)	18,029.49	18,547.05	19,074.42
Year 4 PV (M)	19,997.83	20,766.89	21,557.92
Year 5 PV (M)	21,836.64	22,891.36	23,986.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)	408,749.70	428,492.46	448,990.83
Equity Value (M)	498,218.74	520,735.84	544,083.56
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,905.40	2,905.40	2,905.40
Fair Value	$171.48	$179.23	$187.27
Upside / Downside	98.93%	107.92%	117.25%

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Ticker ⇵	Company ⇵	Dividend Yield % ▼	Dividend Per Share ⇵	Payout Ratio % ⇵
112610.KS	CS Wind Corporation	2.43%	$982.89	21.73%
300452.SZ	Anhui Sunhere Pharmaceutical Excipients Co.,Ltd.	2.43%	$0.33	58.46%
603599.SS	Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical Co., Ltd.	2.43%	$0.28	35.02%
605286.SS	Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery Co., Ltd.	2.43%	$0.99	75.51%
9569.SR	Almuneef Company for Trade, Industry, Agriculture and Contracting	2.43%	$0.20	19.26%
ALV	Autoliv, Inc.	2.43%	$2.97	30.32%
KEPEN.AT	Flour Mills Kepenos S.A.	2.43%	$0.05	39.82%
MSAB-B.ST	Micro Systemation AB (publ)	2.43%	$1.50	65.33%
NEOE3.SA	Neoenergia S.A.	2.43%	$0.77	21.26%
OV8.SI	Sheng Siong Group Ltd	2.43%	$0.06	66.54%
VIL.PA	VIEL & Cie, S.A.	2.43%	$0.40	12.44%
002236.SZ	Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.46	38.43%
006730.KQ	Seobu T&D Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$309.73	27.66%
071050.KS	Korea Investment Holdings Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$3,984.93	13.09%
0DQK.L	Beter Bed Holding N.V.	2.42%	$0.15	53.98%
2409.TW	AUO Corporation	2.42%	$0.31	41.22%
300453.SZ	Jiangxi Sanxin Medtec Co.,Ltd.	2.42%	$0.21	45.08%
600064.SS	Nanjing Gaoke Company Limited	2.42%	$0.21	15.60%
601236.SS	Hongta Securities Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.20	95.69%
9550.SR	Sure Global Tech Company	2.42%	$1.52	28.67%
9562.SR	Foods Gate Trading Co.	2.42%	$0.67	13.40%
AEONTS-R.BK	AEON Thana Sinsap (Thailand) Public Company Limited	2.42%	$2.60	21.04%
NMAN.ST	Nederman Holding AB (publ)	2.42%	$4.00	47.45%
SALIK.AE	Salik Company P.J.S.C.	2.42%	$0.16	83.74%
SKMO.ST	Skåne-möllan AB (publ)	2.42%	$1.40	96.86%
001130.KS	Daehan Flour Mills Co.,Ltd	2.41%	$3,470.92	10.83%
080160.KQ	Modetour Network Inc.	2.41%	$249.37	24.80%
0U96.L	Everest Re Group, Ltd.	2.41%	$8.07	61.23%
3591.T	Wacoal Holdings Corp.	2.41%	$106.27	49.77%
601966.SS	Shandong Linglong Tyre Co.,Ltd.	2.41%	$0.35	42.43%
7951.T	Yamaha Corporation	2.41%	$26.35	66.95%
BORG.ST	Björn Borg AB (publ)	2.41%	$1.50	43.49%
EIOF.OL	Eidesvik Offshore ASA	2.41%	$0.30	28.32%
ETTE.HE	Etteplan Oyj	2.41%	$0.23	71.21%
ZZ-B.ST	Zinzino AB (publ)	2.41%	$3.76	58.64%
002968.SZ	New Dazheng Property Group Co., Ltd.	2.40%	$0.29	59.28%
0NZN.L	Robertet S.A.	2.40%	$21.10	23.60%
4015.SR	Jamjoom Pharmaceuticals Factory Company	2.40%	$3.46	54.14%
7703.TWO	Rayzher	2.40%	$5.49	59.71%
BBL.AX	Brisbane Broncos Limited	2.40%	$0.04	25.15%
002158.SZ	Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.60	60.14%
004690.KS	Samchully Co.,Ltd	2.39%	$3,000.02	10.30%
0GVS.L	Catena AB (publ)	2.39%	$8.76	32.84%
300577.SZ	Anhui Korrun Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.51	36.22%
3044.TW	Tripod Technology Corporation	2.39%	$7.48	42.14%
603080.SS	Xinjiang Torch Gas Co., Ltd	2.39%	$0.57	43.55%
6780.TWO	Study King Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.80	89.60%
6804.T	Hosiden Corporation	2.39%	$59.44	25.81%
KBLM.JK	PT Kabelindo Murni Tbk	2.39%	$8.08	12.05%
SCANFL.HE	Scanfil Oyj	2.39%	$0.24	42.33%

Financial Statements

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Sector

ANTA Sports Products Limited (2020.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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