DDM Analysis: 1MO.F

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$22.29 - $30.97	$26.64
Multi-Stage	$53.83 - $59.40	$56.56
Blended Fair Value	$41.60
Current Price	$59.06
Upside	-29.56%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-3.97%	0.00%	3.31	4.42	3.88	3.94	5.19	4.05	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-25.23%	13.92%	-1.38%	-24.13%	28.11%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	7.14%	9.49%	6.13%	9.93%	5.34%	2.63%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	854.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	346.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)	508.21

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	170.88	106.80	64.08
Cash Retained (M)	508.21	508.21	508.21
(-) Cash Required (M)	-170.88	-106.80	-64.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)	337.33	401.41	444.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	216.64	216.64	216.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.56	1.85	2.05
LTM Dividend per Share	1.60	1.60	1.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.56	1.85	2.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.16	3.45	3.65
WACC / Discount Rate	7.33%	7.33%	7.33%
Growth Rate	-5.97%	-4.97%	-3.97%
Fair Value	$22.29	$26.64	$30.97
Upside / Downside	-62.26%	-54.90%	-47.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	854.39	811.89	771.50	733.12	696.65	661.99	681.85
Payout Ratio	40.52%	50.41%	60.31%	70.21%	80.10%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	346.18	409.31	465.30	514.70	558.04	595.79	630.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.33%	7.33%	7.33%
Growth Rate	-5.97%	-4.97%	-3.97%
Year 1 PV (M)	377.32	381.34	385.35
Year 2 PV (M)	395.42	403.88	412.42
Year 3 PV (M)	403.23	416.23	429.51
Year 4 PV (M)	403.02	420.44	438.42
Year 5 PV (M)	396.66	418.21	440.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)	9,687.04	10,213.24	10,762.07
Equity Value (M)	11,662.69	12,253.34	12,868.45
Shares Outstanding (M)	216.64	216.64	216.64
Fair Value	$53.83	$56.56	$59.40
Upside / Downside	-8.85%	-4.23%	0.57%

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Hello Group Inc. (1MO.F)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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