DDM Analysis: 1882.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$307.92 - $754.14	$706.74
Multi-Stage	$109.57 - $119.94	$114.66
Blended Fair Value	$410.70
Current Price	$18.61
Upside	2,106.87%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	11.24%	8.96%	0.60	0.48	0.77	1.18	0.39	0.35	0.44	0.39	0.30	0.27
YoY Growth	-	-	24.35%	-37.71%	-34.24%	204.28%	9.91%	-20.18%	12.56%	28.60%	10.77%	8.17%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.02%	2.74%	4.19%	6.67%	1.71%	2.08%	3.32%	1.99%	2.23%	2.90%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	6,052.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	2,032.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)	4,019.66

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,210.42	756.51	453.91
Cash Retained (M)	4,019.66	4,019.66	4,019.66
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,210.42	-756.51	-453.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2,809.24	3,263.15	3,565.76
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,596.00	1,596.00	1,596.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.76	2.04	2.23
LTM Dividend per Share	1.27	1.27	1.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.76	2.04	2.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.03	3.32	3.51
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$307.92	$706.74	$754.14
Upside / Downside	1,554.60%	3,697.64%	3,952.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	6,052.09	6,445.48	6,864.43	7,310.62	7,785.81	8,291.89	8,540.64
Payout Ratio	33.58%	44.87%	56.15%	67.43%	78.72%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	2,032.43	2,891.81	3,854.33	4,929.76	6,128.71	7,462.70	7,900.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	2,688.83	2,714.31	2,739.80
Year 2 PV (M)	3,332.23	3,395.70	3,459.77
Year 3 PV (M)	3,962.82	4,076.58	4,192.49
Year 4 PV (M)	4,580.79	4,756.95	4,938.15
Year 5 PV (M)	5,186.32	5,436.82	5,696.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)	155,120.14	162,612.50	170,391.61
Equity Value (M)	174,871.12	182,992.86	191,418.72
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,596.00	1,596.00	1,596.00
Fair Value	$109.57	$114.66	$119.94
Upside / Downside	488.76%	516.11%	544.47%

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Financial Statements

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Haitian International Holdings Limited (1882.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener