DDM Analysis: 1834.SR

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1.55 - $2.09	$1.82
Multi-Stage	$2.18 - $2.37	$2.28
Blended Fair Value	$2.05
Current Price	$6.07
Upside	-66.22%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019
DPS	13.94%	0.00%	0.12	0.43	0.28	0.38	0.19	0.06	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-71.76%	56.46%	-27.67%	100.29%	200.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.96%	4.75%	3.04%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	122.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	100.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	22.35

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	24.47	15.29	9.18
Cash Retained (M)	22.35	22.35	22.35
(-) Cash Required (M)	-24.47	-15.29	-9.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-2.12	7.06	13.17
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	395.07	395.07	395.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.01	0.02	0.03
LTM Dividend per Share	0.25	0.25	0.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.01	0.02	0.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.25	0.27	0.29
WACC / Discount Rate	13.71%	13.71%	13.71%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$1.55	$1.82	$2.09
Upside / Downside	-74.54%	-69.95%	-65.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	122.35	121.13	119.92	118.72	117.53	116.35	119.84
Payout Ratio	81.73%	83.39%	85.04%	86.69%	88.35%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	100.00	101.00	101.98	102.92	103.83	104.72	110.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	13.71%	13.71%	13.71%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	87.93	88.83	89.72
Year 2 PV (M)	77.29	78.87	80.47
Year 3 PV (M)	67.90	70.00	72.15
Year 4 PV (M)	59.64	62.11	64.66
Year 5 PV (M)	52.36	55.09	57.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)	517.67	544.63	572.70
Equity Value (M)	862.79	899.53	937.63
Shares Outstanding (M)	395.07	395.07	395.07
Fair Value	$2.18	$2.28	$2.37
Upside / Downside	-64.02%	-62.49%	-60.90%

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Financial Statements

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Saudi Manpower Solutions Co. (1834.SR)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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