DDM Analysis: 1809.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$322.32 - $788.06	$738.53
Multi-Stage	$113.61 - $124.41	$118.91
Blended Fair Value	$428.72
Current Price	$6.94
Upside	6,077.52%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	14.00%	0.00%	0.40	0.17	0.17	0.16	0.18	0.21	0.26	0.00	0.04	0.76
YoY Growth	-	-	128.41%	5.10%	1.15%	-7.09%	-14.63%	-19.97%	0.00%	-100.00%	-94.34%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.79%	2.97%	3.10%	2.78%	2.52%	2.94%	5.23%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,525.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	539.71
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,986.02

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	505.15	315.72	189.43
Cash Retained (M)	1,986.02	1,986.02	1,986.02
(-) Cash Required (M)	-505.15	-315.72	-189.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,480.87	1,670.30	1,796.59
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	637.39	637.39	637.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.32	2.62	2.82
LTM Dividend per Share	0.85	0.85	0.85
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.32	2.62	2.82
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.17	3.47	3.67
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$322.32	$738.53	$788.06
Upside / Downside	4,544.40%	10,541.63%	11,255.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,525.73	2,689.90	2,864.74	3,050.95	3,249.26	3,460.46	3,564.28
Payout Ratio	21.37%	35.09%	48.82%	62.55%	76.27%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	539.71	944.01	1,398.60	1,908.29	2,478.33	3,114.42	3,296.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.54%	6.54%	6.54%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	877.76	886.08	894.40
Year 2 PV (M)	1,209.18	1,232.22	1,255.46
Year 3 PV (M)	1,534.06	1,578.10	1,622.97
Year 4 PV (M)	1,852.50	1,923.74	1,997.02
Year 5 PV (M)	2,164.59	2,269.14	2,377.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)	64,774.32	67,902.95	71,151.31
Equity Value (M)	72,412.43	75,792.24	79,298.87
Shares Outstanding (M)	637.39	637.39	637.39
Fair Value	$113.61	$118.91	$124.41
Upside / Downside	1,537.00%	1,613.40%	1,692.68%

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Prinx Chengshan Holdings Limited (1809.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener